Adrian Vogl
Senior Research Scientist
Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment
Web page: http://www.linkedin.com/in/adrian-vogl
Academic Appointments
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Senior Research Scientist, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment
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Academic Research Staff, Woods Research Natural Capital Project
All Publications
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METHODOLOGY FOR IDENTIFICATION OF PRIORITY AREAS FOR INTERVENTIONS OF PAYMENT MECHANISM FOR WATER ECOSYSTEM SERVICES IN AMAZON CITIES, PERU
ECOLOGIA APLICADA
2023; 22 (2): 141-154
View details for DOI 10.21704/rea.v22i2.2090
View details for Web of Science ID 001167402200007
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Optimal allocation of nature-based solutions to achieve climate mitigation and adaptation goals
PEOPLE AND NATURE
2023
View details for DOI 10.1002/pan3.10481
View details for Web of Science ID 000993220900001
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Centring justice in conceptualizing and improving access to urban nature
PEOPLE AND NATURE
2023
View details for DOI 10.1002/pan3.10470
View details for Web of Science ID 000989379400001
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Shedding light on the complex relationship between forest restoration and water services
RESTORATION ECOLOGY
2023
View details for DOI 10.1111/rec.13890
View details for Web of Science ID 000959255800001
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Trade-offs between efficiency, equality and equity in restoration for flood protection
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2022; 17 (1)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3797
View details for Web of Science ID 000732445300001
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Including Additional Pollutants into an Integrated Assessment Model for Estimating Nonmarket Benefits from Water Quality
UNIV WISCONSIN PRESS. 2020: 457–77
View details for DOI 10.3368/wple.96.4.457
View details for Web of Science ID 000600065000002
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Increasing decision relevance of ecosystem service science
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
2020
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41893-020-00625-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000577035900003
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Shaping Land Use Change and Ecosystem Restoration in a Water-Stressed Agricultural Landscape to Achieve Multiple Benefits
FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS
2020; 4
View details for DOI 10.3389/fsufs.2020.00138
View details for Web of Science ID 000570721900001
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Global modeling of nature's contributions to people.
Science (New York, N.Y.)
2019; 366 (6462): 255–58
Abstract
The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions: water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people's needs for nature are now greatest, nature's ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario.
View details for DOI 10.1126/science.aaw3372
View details for PubMedID 31601772
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Opportunities for natural infrastructure to improve urban water security in Latin America
PLOS ONE
2018; 13 (12)
View details for DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0209470
View details for Web of Science ID 000454149400051
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INTEGRATING ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL IMPACTS WITH ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ANALYSIS
ROUTLEDGE HANDBOOK OF THE RESOURCE NEXUS
2018: 159–76
View details for Web of Science ID 000467330600011
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Opportunities for natural infrastructure to improve urban water security in Latin America.
PloS one
2018; 13 (12): e0209470
Abstract
Governments, development banks, corporations, and nonprofits are increasingly considering the potential contribution of watershed conservation activities to secure clean water for cities and to reduce flood risk. These organizations, however, often lack decision-relevant, initial screening information across multiple cities to identify which specific city-watershed combinations present not only water-related risks but also potentially attractive opportunities for mitigation via natural infrastructure approaches. To address this need, this paper presents a novel methodology for a continental assessment of the potential for watershed conservation activities to improve surface drinking water quality and mitigate riverine and stormwater flood risks in 70 major cities across Latin America. We used publicly available geospatial data to analyze 887 associated watersheds. Water quality metrics assessed the potential for agricultural practices, afforestation, riparian buffers, and forest conservation to mitigate sediment and phosphorus loads. Flood reduction metrics analyzed the role of increasing infiltration, restoring riparian wetlands, and reducing connected impervious surface to mitigate riverine and stormwater floods for exposed urban populations. Cities were then categorized based on relative opportunity potential to reduce identified risks through watershed conservation activities. We find high opportunities for watershed activities to mitigate at least one of the risks in 42 cities, potentially benefiting 96 million people or around 60% of the urbanites living in the 70 largest cities in Latin America. We estimate water quality could be improved for 72 million people in 27 cities, riverine flood risk mitigated for 5 million people in 13 cities, and stormwater flooding mitigated for 44 million people in 14 cities. We identified five cities with the potential to simultaneously enhance water quality and mitigate flood risks, and in contrast, six cities where conservation efforts are unlikely to meaningfully mitigate either risk. Institutions investing in natural infrastructure to improve water security in Latin America can maximize their impact by focusing on specific watershed conservation activities either for cleaner drinking water or flood mitigation in cities identified in our analysis where these interventions are most likely to reduce risk.
View details for PubMedID 30576371
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Mainstreaming investments in watershed services to enhance water security: Barriers and opportunities
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY
2017; 75: 19–27
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.05.007
View details for Web of Science ID 000407869500003
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Valuing investments in sustainable land management in the Upper Tana River basin, Kenya.
Journal of environmental management
2016
Abstract
We analyze the impacts of investments in sustainable land use practices on ecosystem services in the Upper Tana basin, Kenya. This work supports implementation of the Upper Tana-Nairobi Water Fund, a public-private partnership to safeguard ecosystem service provision and food security. We apply an integrated modelling framework, building on local knowledge and previous field- and model-based studies, to link biophysical landscape changes at high temporal and spatial resolution to economic benefits for key actors in the basin. The primary contribution of this study is that it a) presents a comprehensive analysis for targeting interventions that takes into account stakeholder preferences, local environmental and socio-economic conditions, b) relies on detailed, process-based, biophysical models to demonstrate the biophysical return on those investments for a practical, decision-driven case, and c) in close collaboration with downstream water users, links those biophysical outputs to monetary metrics, including: reduced water treatment costs, increased hydropower production, and crop yield benefits for agricultural producers in the conservation area. This study highlights the benefits and trade-offs that come with conducting participatory research as part of a stakeholder engagement process: while results are more likely to be decision-relevant within the local context, navigating stakeholder expectations and data limitations present ongoing challenges.
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.10.013
View details for PubMedID 27815005
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OPAL: An open-source software tool for integrating biodiversity and ecosystem services into impact assessment and mitigation decisions
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
2016; 84: 121-133
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.06.008
View details for Web of Science ID 000385595200009
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Managing forest ecosystem services for hydropower production
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY
2016; 61: 221-229
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.04.014
View details for Web of Science ID 000377314300024
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One size does not fit all: Natural infrastructure investments within the Latin American Water Funds Partnership
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
2016; 17: 217-236
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.12.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000370641300024
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Who loses? Tracking ecosystem service redistribution from road development and mitigation in the Peruvian Amazon
FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT
2015; 13 (6): 309-315
View details for DOI 10.1890/140337
View details for Web of Science ID 000359273400015
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Process matters: a framework for conducting decision-relevant assessments of ecosystem services
International Journal of Biodiversity Science, Ecosystem Services & Management
2014; 11 (3): 190–204
View details for DOI 10.1080/21513732.2014.966149
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Ecosystem services research in Latin America: The state of the art
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
2012; 2: 56-70
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecoser.2012.09.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000209520500007
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Evaluating Watershed Experiments through Recursive Residual Analysis
JOURNAL OF IRRIGATION AND DRAINAGE ENGINEERING
2010; 136 (5): 348-353
View details for DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)IR.1943-4774.0000203
View details for Web of Science ID 000276691600008
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Impacts of water resources development on flow regimes in the Brazos River
ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
2009; 157 (1-4): 331-345
Abstract
The Brazos River, the second largest basin in Texas, represents one of the most highly developed river systems in the state. Thirty-nine reservoirs with capacities greater than 5,000 acre-feet are currently in operation in the basin. Impacts on stream ecosystems are evidenced by changes in flow regimes and resulting changes in fish assemblages over the past 50 years. These changes have been widely attributed to human impacts, through the construction of dams, diversion of water supplies for agricultural and municipal uses, and land use change. However, streamflow regimes result from a complex mix of drivers that include climate, topography, land cover, land use practices, reservoir management practices, dam releases, and water consumption patterns, making determination of anthropogenic impacts problematic. This study quantifies changes in flow regime and probable historical drivers including precipitation, dam construction, population growth, and changing water demand in the Brazos River basin over the past 100 years. Results indicate that the climate of the basin has been relatively stable over the study period, while large-scale changes in human population densities and intense water resources development are correlated with impacts on flow regimes, decreasing the frequency and magnitude of high flow events and stabilizing low flows. These changes have resulted in an increase of habitat generalist fish species, a decrease of native obligate riverine fishes, and an overall homogenization of species assemblages. The results of this study indicate the importance of combining ecological data with an assessment of social drivers for a greater understanding of the dynamics of river basin systems.
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10661-008-0538-5
View details for Web of Science ID 000269883900029
View details for PubMedID 18819012