Jens Hainmueller is an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at Stanford University. He also holds a courtesy appointment in the Stanford Graduate School of Business.
His research interests include immigration, statistical methods, political economy, and political behavior. He has published over 40 articles, many of them in top general science journals and top field journals in political science, statistics, economics, and business. He has also published three open source software packages and his research has received awards and funding from the Carnegie Corporation, the Russell Sage Foundation, the Robin Hood Foundation, the National Science Foundation, the Swiss SNF, the American Political Science Association, the Society of Political Methodology, the National Bureau of Economic Research, and the Midwest Political Science Association.

Hainmueller received his PhD from Harvard University and also studied at the London School of Economics, Brown University, and the University of Tübingen. Before joining Stanford, he served on the faculty of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Academic Appointments

Administrative Appointments

  • Faculty Associate, Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University (2009 - Present)
  • Faculty Fellow, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration, University College London (2013 - Present)
  • Faculty Affiliate, Stanford Europe Center (2014 - Present)
  • Founder and Faculty Co-Director, Stanford Immigration and Integration Policy Lab (2014 - Present)
  • Associate Professor (by courtesy), Graduate School of Business, Stanford University (2014 - Present)
  • Associate Professor (with tenure), Department of Political Science, Stanford University (2014 - Present)

Honors & Awards

  • McCloy Scholarship, German Merit Foundation (Studienstiftung des Deutschen Volkes) (2003 - 2005)
  • Bok Center Awards for Distinguished Teaching (received twice), Harvard University
  • Senator Charles Sumner Prize, Harvard Faculty (2009)
  • Gosnell Prize for Excellence in Political Methodology, Society of Political Methodology (2007)
  • Robert H. Durr Award, Midwest Political Science Association (2008)
  • Award for Best Paper on the study of labor in politics, American Political Science Association (2012)
  • Robert H. Durr Award, Midwest Political Science Association (2012)
  • Award for Best Paper on the study of elections, public opinion, and voting behavior, American Political Science Association (2013)
  • Warren Miller Prize, Society of Political Methodology (2013)
  • Editors' Choice Award, Political Analysis (2014)
  • Emerging Scholar Award, Society of Political Methodology (2014)
  • Warren Miller Prize, Society of Political Methodology (2015)

Boards, Advisory Committees, Professional Organizations

  • Associate Editor, Journal of Causal Inference (2015 - Present)
  • Associate Editor, Political Analysis (2014 - Present)
  • Editorial Board Member, Political Science Research and Methods (2014)
  • Editorial Board Member, Political Analysis (2014)
  • Editorial Board Member, American Journal of Political Science (2014)
  • Editorial Board Member, Journal of Causal Inference (2014)
  • Editorial Board Member, Observational Studies (2015 - Present)

Professional Education

  • Ph.D., Harvard University, Government (2009)
  • M.P.A., Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, Master of Public Administration (2005)
  • M.Sc., London School of Economics, International Political Economy (2003)
  • B.A. (Zwischenprüfung), Tubingen University, Major: Political Science; Minors: Economics and Public Law (2001)

Stanford Advisees

All Publications

  • Assessing the External Validity of Election RD Estimates: An Investigation of the Incumbency Advantage JOURNAL OF POLITICS Hainmueller, J., Hall, A. B., Snyder, J. M. 2015; 77 (3): 707-720

    View details for DOI 10.1086/681238

    View details for Web of Science ID 000355827900015

  • The Hidden American Immigration Consensus: A Conjoint Analysis of Attitudes toward Immigrants AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Hainmueller, J., Hopkins, D. J. 2015; 59 (3): 529-548

    View details for DOI 10.1111/ajps.12138

    View details for Web of Science ID 000357333200001

  • Comparative Politics and the Synthetic Control Method AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Abadie, A., Diamond, A., Hainmueller, J. 2015; 59 (2): 495-510

    View details for DOI 10.1111/ajps.12116

    View details for Web of Science ID 000352535000014

  • Validating vignette and conjoint survey experiments against real-world behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Hainmueller, J., Hangartner, D., Yamamoto, T. 2015; 112 (8): 2395-2400


    Survey experiments, like vignette and conjoint analyses, are widely used in the social sciences to elicit stated preferences and study how humans make multidimensional choices. However, there is a paucity of research on the external validity of these methods that examines whether the determinants that explain hypothetical choices made by survey respondents match the determinants that explain what subjects actually do when making similar choices in real-world situations. This study compares results from conjoint and vignette analyses on which immigrant attributes generate support for naturalization with closely corresponding behavioral data from a natural experiment in Switzerland, where some municipalities used referendums to decide on the citizenship applications of foreign residents. Using a representative sample from the same population and the official descriptions of applicant characteristics that voters received before each referendum as a behavioral benchmark, we find that the effects of the applicant attributes estimated from the survey experiments perform remarkably well in recovering the effects of the same attributes in the behavioral benchmark. We also find important differences in the relative performances of the different designs. Overall, the paired conjoint design, where respondents evaluate two immigrants side by side, comes closest to the behavioral benchmark; on average, its estimates are within 2% percentage points of the effects in the behavioral benchmark.

    View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1416587112

    View details for PubMedID 25646415

  • On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close Races AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Eggers, A. C., Fowler, A., Hainmueller, J., Hall, A. B., Snyder, J. M. 2015; 59 (1): 259-274

    View details for DOI 10.1111/ajps.12127

    View details for Web of Science ID 000347897800016

  • Preferences for International Redistribution: The Divide over the Eurozone Bailouts AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Bechtel, M. M., Hainmueller, J., Margalit, Y. 2014; 58 (4): 835-856

    View details for DOI 10.1111/ajps.12079

    View details for Web of Science ID 000343869800005

  • Public Attitudes Toward Immigration ANNUAL REVIEW OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, VOL 17 Hainmueller, J., Hopkins, D. J. 2014; 17: 225-249
  • Political Capital: Corporate Connections and Stock Investments in the US Congress, 2004-2008 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Eggers, A. C., Hainmueller, J. 2014; 9 (2): 169-202
  • Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis: Understanding Multidimensional Choices via Stated Preference Experiments POLITICAL ANALYSIS Hainmueller, J., Hopkins, D. J., Yamamoto, T. 2014; 22 (1): 1-30

    View details for DOI 10.1093/pan/mpt024

    View details for Web of Science ID 000330450300001

  • ebalance: A Stata Package for Entropy Balancing JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SOFTWARE Hainmueller, J., Xu, Y. 2013; 54 (7)
  • Capitol Losses: The Mediocre Performance of Congressional Stock Portfolios JOURNAL OF POLITICS Eggers, A. C., Hainmueller, J. 2013; 75 (2): 535-551
  • Who Gets a Swiss Passport? A Natural Experiment in Immigrant Discrimination AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW Hainmueller, J., Hangartner, D. 2013; 107 (1): 159-187
  • Entropy Balancing for Causal Effects: A Multivariate Reweighting Method to Produce Balanced Samples in Observational Studies POLITICAL ANALYSIS Hainmueller, J. 2012; 20 (1): 25-46

    View details for DOI 10.1093/pan/mpr025

    View details for Web of Science ID 000299348300002

  • Voter Attitudes towards High- and Low-Skilled Immigrants: Evidence from Survey Experiments Immigration and Public Opinion in Liberal Democracies Hainmueller, J. edited by Freeman, G. P., Hansen, R., Leal, D. L. Routledge Research in Comparative Politics. 2012
  • How Lasting Is Voter Gratitude? An Analysis of the Short- and Long-Term Electoral Returns to Beneficial Policy AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE Bechtel, M. M., Hainmueller, J. 2011; 55 (4): 851-867
  • Synth: An R Package for Synthetic Control Methods in Comparative Case Studies JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SOFTWARE Abadie, A., Diamond, A., Hainmueller, J. 2011; 42 (13): 1-17
  • Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION Abadie, A., Diamond, A., Hainmueller, J. 2010; 105 (490): 493-505
  • Attitudes toward Highly Skilled and Low-skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW Hainmueller, J., Hiscox, M. J. 2010; 104 (1): 61-84
  • Opium for the Masses: How Foreign Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes POLITICAL ANALYSIS Kern, H. L., Hainmueller, J. 2009; 17 (4): 377-399

    View details for DOI 10.1093/pan/mpp017

    View details for Web of Science ID 000270711000003

  • MPs for Sale: Estimating Returns to Office in Post-War British Politics American Political Science Review Hainmueller, J., Eggers, A. 2009; 103 (4): 513-533
  • Incumbency as a source of spillover effects in mixed electoral systems: Evidence from a regression-discontinuity design ELECTORAL STUDIES Hainmueller, J., Kern, H. L. 2008; 27 (2): 213-227
  • Phylogenetic analysis and structural predictions of human adenovirus penton proteins as a basis for tissue-specific adenovirus vector design JOURNAL OF VIROLOGY Madisch, I., Hofmayer, S., Moritz, C., Grintzalis, A., Hainmueller, J., Pring-Akerblom, P., Heim, A. 2007; 81 (15): 8270-8281


    The penton base is a major capsid protein of human adenoviruses (HAdV) which forms the vertices of the capsid and interacts with hexon and fiber protein. Two hypervariable loops of the penton are exposed on the capsid surface. Sequences of these and 300 adjacent amino acid residues of all 51 HAdV and closely related simian adenoviruses were studied. Adjacent sequences and predicted overall secondary structure were conserved. Phylogenetic analysis revealed clustering corresponding to the HAdV species and recombination events in the origin of HAdV prototypes. All HAdV except serotypes 40 and 41 of species F exhibited an integrin binding RGD motif in the second loop. The lengths of the loops (HVR1 and RGD loops) varied significantly between HAdV species with the longest RGD loop observed in species C and the longest HVR1 in species B. Long loops may permit the insertion of motifs that modify tissue tropism. Genetic analysis of HAdV prime strain p17'H30, a neutralization variant of HAdV-D17, indicated the significance of nonhexon neutralization epitopes for HAdV immune escape. Fourteen highly conserved motifs of the penton base were analyzed by site-directed mutagenesis of HAdV-D8 and tested for sustained induction of early cytopathic effects. Thus, three new motifs essential for penton base function were identified additionally to the RGD site, which interacts with a secondary cellular receptor responsible for internalization. Therefore, our penton primary structure data and secondary structure modeling in combination with the recently published fiber knob sequences may permit the rational design of tissue-specific adenoviral vectors.

    View details for DOI 10.1128/JVI.00048-07

    View details for Web of Science ID 000248027400045

    View details for PubMedID 17522221

  • Educated preferences: Explaining attitudes toward immigration in Europe INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION Hainmueller, J., Hiscox, M. J. 2007; 61 (2): 399-442
  • Learning to love globalization: Education and individual attitudes toward international trade INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION Hainmueller, J., Hiscox, M. J. 2006; 60 (2): 469-498
  • Wahlkreisarbeit zahlt sich doppelt aus - Zur Wirkung des Amtsinhaberstatus einer Partei auf ihren Zweitstimmenanteil bei den Bundestagswahlen 1949 bis 1998 Jahrbuch fur Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie Hainmueller, J., Kern, H., Bechtel, M. edited by Brauninger, T., Behnke, J. Wiesbaden: Verlag fur Sozialwissenschaft. 2006: 11–47
  • Electoral Balancing, Divided Government, and Midterm Loss in German Elections Journal of Legislative Studies Hainmueller, J., Kern, H. 2006; 12 (2): 127-149
  • Why do Europeans fly safer? The politics of airport security in Europe and the US Central-and-East-European-International-Studies-Association Convention (CEEISA/ISA) HAINMULLER, J., Lemnitzer, J. M. ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD. 2003: 1–36