Administrative Appointments
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Lectureship for Research, UCI (2001 - 2002)
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Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (1993 - 1994)
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Guggenheim Fellow, John Simon Guggenheim Memorial Foundation (1987 - 1988)
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Humanities Council Senior Fellow and Old Dominion Fellow, Princeton University (1987 - 1987)
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President's Research Fellow in the Humanities, University of California (1993 - 1994)
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Assistant Professor, California State University, Northridge (1964 - 1965)
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Assistant Professor, University of Delaware (1965 - 1966)
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Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Michigan (1966 - 1967)
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Assistant Professor, University of Ilinois, Chicago (1967 - 1968)
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Associate Professor, University of Ilinois, Chicago (1968 - 1970)
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Professor, University of Ilinois, Chicago (1970 - 1980)
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Professor, University of California, Irvine (1980 - 1997)
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Professor of Economics, University of California, Irvine (1997 - Present)
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UCI Distinguished Professor of Philosophy, University of California, Irvine (1997 - Present)
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UCI Distinguished Professor of Social Science, University of California, Irvine (1999 - Present)
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Logic and Philosophy of Science Professor of Philosophy, Stanford University (2007 - Present)
Honors & Awards
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Carl Gustav Hempel Award, Philosophy of Science Association (Nov. 2016)
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Elected Fellow, National Academy of Sciences of the USA (1999)
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Lakatos Prize, London School of Economics and Political Science (1999)
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Extraordinarius Award, University of California, Irvine (2011)
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Synthese Distinguished Paper Award, Synthese (published by Springer) (2010)
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Paul Silverman Award in Foundations of Ethics, University of California, Irvine (2006)
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Distinguished Alumnus Award for Excellence, University of Pittsburgh (1986)
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UCI Distinguished Lectureship for Research, University of California, Irvine (2001-2002)
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Elected Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science (2004)
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Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in Behavioral Sciences (1993-94)
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Guggenheim Fellow, Guggneheim Foundation (1987-88)
Boards, Advisory Committees, Professional Organizations
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President, Philosophy of Science Association (2004 - 2006)
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President, American Philosophical Association (Pacific) (2000 - 2001)
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Member, National Academy of Sciences (1999 - Present)
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Member, American Academy of Arts and Sciences (1994 - Present)
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Member of Governing Board, Western Center of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (2000 - 2006)
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Director, Interdisciplinary Program in History and Philosophy of Science, University of California, Irvine
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Member, Governing Board, Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Science, University of California, Irvine
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Research Affiliate, Center for the Scientific Study of Ethics, University of California, Irvine
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Research Affiliate, Symbolic Systems, Stanford University
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Member of Governing Board, American Philosophical Association (1987 - 1990)
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Member of Governing Board, American Philosophical Association (1999 - 2002)
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Member of Governing Board, Philosophy of Science Association (1990 - 1991)
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Member of Governing Board, Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences, University of California, Irvine (1998 - Present)
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Member of Editorial Board, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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Member of Editorial Board, Erkenntnis
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Member of Editorial Board, Philosophy and Phenomenological Research
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Member of Editorial Board, American Philosophical Quarterly
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Member of Editorial Board, Nous
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Member of Editorial Board, Journal of Logic Language and Information
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Member of Editorial Board, Theory and Decision
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Member of Editorial Board, Philosophical Studies
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Member of Editorial Board, Risk, Decision and Policy
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Member of Editorial Board, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy
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Member of Editorial Board, Topics in Contemporary Philosophy (Book Series)
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Member of Editorial Board, Theoria
Program Affiliations
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Symbolic Systems Program
Professional Education
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Ph.D., University of Pittsburgh, Philosophy (1964)
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M.A., University of Pittsburgh, Philosophy (1962)
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B.A., Lehigh University, Philosophy (1961)
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B.A., Lehigh University, Economics (1960)
2023-24 Courses
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Independent Studies (3)
- Individual Work for Graduate Students
PHIL 240 (Aut, Win) - Individual Work, Undergraduate
PHIL 197 (Win, Sum) - Tutorial, Senior Year
PHIL 196 (Win)
- Individual Work for Graduate Students
All Publications
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Mill's Conversion: The Herschel Connection
PHILOSOPHERS IMPRINT
2018; 18 (23): 1–24
View details for Web of Science ID 000454596400001
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Co-evolutionary Dynamics of Collective Action with Signaling for a Quorum
PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
2015; 11 (2)
Abstract
Collective signaling for a quorum is found in a wide range of organisms that face collective action problems whose successful solution requires the participation of some quorum of the individuals present. These range from humans, to social insects, to bacteria. The mechanisms involved, the quorum required, and the size of the group may vary. Here we address the general question of the evolution of collective signaling at a high level of abstraction. We investigate the evolutionary dynamics of a population engaging in a signaling N-person game theoretic model. Parameter settings allow for loners and cheaters, and for costly or costless signals. We find a rich dynamics, showing how natural selection, operating on a population of individuals endowed with the simplest strategies, is able to evolve a costly signaling system that allows individuals to respond appropriately to different states of Nature. Signaling robustly promotes cooperative collective action, in particular when coordinated action is most needed and difficult to achieve. Two different signaling systems may emerge depending on Nature's most prevalent states.
View details for DOI 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004101
View details for Web of Science ID 000352081000042
View details for PubMedID 25706984
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Some dynamics of signaling games
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2014; 111: 10873-10880
Abstract
Information transfer is a basic feature of life that includes signaling within and between organisms. Owing to its interactive nature, signaling can be investigated by using game theory. Game theoretic models of signaling have a long tradition in biology, economics, and philosophy. For a long time the analyses of these games has mostly relied on using static equilibrium concepts such as Pareto optimal Nash equilibria or evolutionarily stable strategies. More recently signaling games of various types have been investigated with the help of game dynamics, which includes dynamical models of evolution and individual learning. A dynamical analysis leads to more nuanced conclusions as to the outcomes of signaling interactions. Here we explore different kinds of signaling games that range from interactions without conflicts of interest between the players to interactions where their interests are seriously misaligned. We consider these games within the context of evolutionary dynamics (both infinite and finite population models) and learning dynamics (reinforcement learning). Some results are specific features of a particular dynamical model, whereas others turn out to be quite robust across different models. This suggests that there are certain qualitative aspects that are common to many real-world signaling interactions.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1400838111
View details for Web of Science ID 000339311100015
View details for PubMedID 25024209
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Grades of Inductive Skepticism
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
2014; 81 (3): 303-312
View details for DOI 10.1086/676637
View details for Web of Science ID 000337746400001
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Probe and Adjust in Information Transfer Games
ERKENNTNIS
2014; 79: 835-853
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10670-013-9467-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000335570600007
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The core theory of subjunctive conditionals
SYNTHESE
2013; 190 (5): 923-928
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11229-012-0193-9
View details for Web of Science ID 000316201500009
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Inventing New Signals
DYNAMIC GAMES AND APPLICATIONS
2012; 2 (1): 129-145
View details for DOI 10.1007/s13235-011-0027-2
View details for Web of Science ID 000328609300008
- Aspects of Naturalizing the Social Contract Complexity and Institutions: Markets, Norms and Corporations edited by Aoki, M., Binmore, K., Deakin, S., Gintis, H. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. 2012: 124–145
- From Zeno to Arbitrage: Essays on Quantity, Coherence and Induction Oxford University Press. 2012
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Co-evolution of pre-play signaling and cooperation
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY
2011; 274 (1): 30-35
Abstract
A finite-population dynamic evolutionary model is presented, which shows that increasing the individual capacity of sending pre-play signals (without any pre-defined meaning), opens a route for cooperation. The population dynamics leads individuals to discriminate between different signals and react accordingly to the signals received. The proportion of time that the population spends in different states can be calculated analytically. We show that increasing the number of different signals benefits cooperative strategies, illustrating how cooperators may take profit from a diverse signaling portfolio to forecast future behaviors and avoid being cheated by defectors.
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.01.004
View details for Web of Science ID 000288312400003
View details for PubMedID 21232542
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Evolutionary Dynamics of Collective Action
Conference on Mathematics of Darwin's Legacy
BIRKHAUSER VERLAG AG. 2011: 119–138
View details for Web of Science ID 000294028100007
- Resiliency, Propensity and Causal Necessity Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings edited by Eagle, A. Routledge. 2011
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Evolutionary considerations in the framing of social norms
POLITICS PHILOSOPHY & ECONOMICS
2010; 9 (3): 265-273
View details for DOI 10.1177/1470594X09339744
View details for Web of Science ID 000282483800002
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The flow of information in signaling games
Laguna Workshop 2008 held in Honor of Brian Skyrms
SPRINGER. 2010: 155–65
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11098-009-9452-0
View details for Web of Science ID 000272802100011
- Pragmatics, Logic and Information Processing Language, Games and Evolution edited by Benz, A. Berlin: Springer Verlag. 2010: 177–187
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Evolutionary dynamics of Lewis signaling games: signaling systems vs. partial pooling
SYNTHESE
2010; 172 (1): 177-191
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11229-009-9477-0
View details for Web of Science ID 000272324000011
- Learning to Network Probability in Science edited by Fetzer, J. Berlin: Springer. 2010: 277–286
- Signals: Evolution, Learning and Information Oxford University Press. 2010
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Evolution of signalling systems with multiple senders and receivers
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
2009; 364 (1518): 771-779
Abstract
Sender-receiver games are simple, tractable models of information transmission. They provide a basic setting for the study the evolution of meaning. It is possible to investigate not only the equilibrium structure of these games but also the dynamics of evolution and learning-with sometimes surprising results. Generalizations of the usual binary game to interactions with multiple senders, multiple receivers or both provide the elements of signalling networks. These can be seen as the loci of information processing, group decisions, and teamwork.
View details for DOI 10.1098/rstb.2008.0258
View details for Web of Science ID 000263434200005
View details for PubMedID 19073482
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Learning to signal: Analysis of a micro-level reinforcement model
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
2009; 119 (2): 373-390
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.spa.2008.02.014
View details for Web of Science ID 000263617500004
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Evolutionary dynamics of collective action in N-person stag hunt dilemmas
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
2009; 276 (1655): 315-321
Abstract
In the animal world, collective action to shelter, protect and nourish requires the cooperation of group members. Among humans, many situations require the cooperation of more than two individuals simultaneously. Most of the relevant literature has focused on an extreme case, the N-person Prisoner's Dilemma. Here we introduce a model in which a threshold less than the total group is required to produce benefits, with increasing participation leading to increasing productivity. This model constitutes a generalization of the two-person stag hunt game to an N-person game. Both finite and infinite population models are studied. In infinite populations this leads to a rich dynamics that admits multiple equilibria. Scenarios of defector dominance, pure coordination or coexistence may arise simultaneously. On the other hand, whenever one takes into account that populations are finite and when their size is of the same order of magnitude as the group size, the evolutionary dynamics is profoundly affected: it may ultimately invert the direction of natural selection, compared with the infinite population limit.
View details for DOI 10.1098/rspb.2008.1126
View details for Web of Science ID 000262005200016
View details for PubMedID 18812288
- Groups and Networks: Their Role in the Evolution of Cooperation In Games, Groups and the Global Good edited by Levin, S. Berlin: Springer. 2009: 105–114
- Evolution and the Social Contract The Tanner Lectures on Human Values 28. Salt Lake City University of Utah Press. 2009: 47–63
- Evolution of Signaling Systems with Multiple Senders and Receivers Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B. 2009: 771-779
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Diachronic Coherence and Radical Probabilism
Conference on Degrees of Belief
SPRINGER. 2009: 253–261
View details for DOI 10.1007/978-1-4020-9198-8_10
View details for Web of Science ID 000262920700010
- Diachronic Coherence and Radical Probabilism Bruno de Finetti, Radical Probabilist edited by Galavotti, M. C. London: College Publications. 2009: 85–96
- Chaos and the Explanatory Significance of Equilibrium: Strange Attractors in Evolutionary Game Dynamics The Dynamics of Norms edited by Bicchieri, C. Cambridge University Press: New York. 2009: 199–222
- A Dynamic Model of Social Network Formation Adaptive Networks edited by Gross, T., Sayama, H. Springer Verlag. 2009: 231–251
- Common Knowledge, the Cooperative Principle and Adaptive Dynamics Why We Cooperate Cambridge, Mass., MIT Press. 2009
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Presidential Address: Signals
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
2008; 75 (5): 489-500
View details for Web of Science ID 000264125100001
- The Social Contract Naturalized Justice, Political Liberalism and Utilitarianism:Themes from Harsanyi and Rawls edited by Fleurbaey, M., Salle, M., Weymark, J. New York: Cambridge University Press. 2008
- Evolution of Inference The Stag Hunt and the Evolution of Social Structure in Reasoning: Studies in Human Inference and its Foundations edited by Alder, J., Rips, L. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2008
- La Caza del Ciervo y la Evolución de la Estructura Social Melusina. 2007
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Diachronic coherence and radical probabilism
19th Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy-of-Science-Association
UNIV CHICAGO PRESS. 2006: 959–68
View details for Web of Science ID 000249037400042
- Evolutionary Dynamics of Collective Action in N-person Stag-Hunt Dilemmas Proceedings of the Royal Society B edited by Pachero, J. 2006: 315–21
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Discovering "weight, or the value of knowledge"
Conference on Cambridge and Vienna held in honor of Frank P Ramsey
SPRINGER. 2006: 55–65
View details for Web of Science ID 000237080200005
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Dynamics of conformist bias
MONIST
2005; 88 (2): 260-269
View details for Web of Science ID 000235439200003
- Signals, Evolution and the Explanatory Power of Transient Information Evolution, Rationality and Cognition: A Cognitive Science for the twenty-first century edited by Zalhao, A. Routeledge: N. Y.. 2005: 61–81
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Network formation by reinforcement learning: the long and medium run
MATHEMATICAL SOCIAL SCIENCES
2004; 48 (3): 315-327
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2004.03.007
View details for Web of Science ID 000224876300005
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Time to absorption in discounted reinforcement models
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
2004; 109 (1): 1-12
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.spa.2003.08.003
View details for Web of Science ID 000187749600001
- Discovering 'Weight, or the Value of Knowledge' Cambridge and Vienna: Frank P. Ramsey and the Vienna Circle Berlin: Springer. 2004: 55–65
- The Stag Hunt and the Evolution of Social Structure Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Mass. 2004
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Learning to take turns
ERKENNTNIS
2003; 59 (3): 311-348
View details for Web of Science ID 000186419300003
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Signals, evolution and the explanatory power of transient information
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
2002; 69 (3): 407-428
View details for Web of Science ID 000178572000001
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Altruism, inclusive fitness, and "the logic of decision"
17th Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy-of-Science-Association
UNIV CHICAGO PRESS. 2002: S104–S111
View details for Web of Science ID 000178763700011
- Evolution, Natural and Social International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences Elsevier: Oxford. 2001
- The Stag Hunt Proceedings and Addresses of the APA 2001
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A dynamic model of social network formation
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2000; 97 (16): 9340-9346
Abstract
We consider a dynamic social network model in which agents play repeated games in pairings determined by a stochastically evolving social network. Individual agents begin to interact at random, with the interactions modeled as games. The game payoffs determine which interactions are reinforced, and the network structure emerges as a consequence of the dynamics of the agents' learning behavior. We study this in a variety of game-theoretic conditions and show that the behavior is complex and sometimes dissimilar to behavior in the absence of structural dynamics. We argue that modeling network structure as dynamic increases realism without rendering the problem of analysis intractable.
View details for Web of Science ID 000088608000103
View details for PubMedID 10922082
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Stability and explanatory significance of some simple evolutionary models
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
2000; 67 (1): 94-113
View details for Web of Science ID 000087305900005
- Evolution of Inference Dynamics in Human and Primate Societies: Agent-Based Modeling of Social and Spatial Processes, edited by Kohler, T., Gumerman, G. New York: Oxford University Press. 2000: 77–88
- Truth Dynamics Circularity, Definition and Truth edited by Chapius, A., Gupta, A. New Delhi: Indian Council of Philosophical Research. 2000: 355–364
- A Dynamic Model of Social Network Formation Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 2000: 9340–46
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Adaptive dynamic models and the social contract - Response to commentary discussion
JOURNAL OF CONSCIOUSNESS STUDIES
2000; 7 (1-2): 335-339
View details for Web of Science ID 000090023100052
- Choice and Chance: An Introduction to Inductive Logic Wadsworth: Belmont, California. 2000
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Game theory, rationality and evolution of the social contract
JOURNAL OF CONSCIOUSNESS STUDIES
2000; 7 (1-2): 269-284
View details for Web of Science ID 000090023100041
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Bargaining with neighbors: Is justice contagious?
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1999; 96 (11): 588-598
View details for Web of Science ID 000083625500003
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Precis of 'Evolution of the Social Contract'
PHILOSOPHY AND PHENOMENOLOGICAL RESEARCH
1999; 59 (1): 217-220
View details for Web of Science ID 000079256900016
- General Facts Metascience 1999; 8: 77-79
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Salience and symmetry-breaking in the evolution of convention
LAW AND PHILOSOPHY
1998; 17 (4): 411-418
View details for Web of Science ID 000075998300004
- The Shadow of the Future Rational Committment and Social Justice edited by Morris, C. New York: Cambridge University Press. 1998: 12–21
- Mutual Aid Modeling Rationality and Morality, and Evolution edited by Danielson, P. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 1998: 376–405
- Evolution of an Anomaly Protosociology 1998; 12: 192-211
- Game Theory Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management: Volume 1 - Quantified Representation of Uncertainty and Imprecision edited by Gilles, D., Smets, P. Dordrecht, Kluwer. 1998: 391–439
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The structure of radical probabilism
Conference on Probability, Dynamics and Causality
KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBL. 1997: 145–157
View details for Web of Science ID 000071894300010
- The Dynamics of Norms edited by Bicchieri, C., Jeffrey, R., Skyrms, B. Cambridge University Press: New York. 1997
- Inductive Logic and Bayesian Statistics Statistics, Probability and Game Theory: Papers in Honor of David Blackwell 1996: 321–336
- Evolution of the Social Contract Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1996
- Carnapian Inductive Logic for Markov Chains The Legacy of the Vienna Circle: Modern Reappraisals edited by Sarkar, S. New York: Garland. 1996: 331–352
- Resiliency and Laws in the Web of Belief Laws of Nature Essays on the Philosophical, Scientific and Historical Dimensions edited by Weinert, F. de Gruyter: Berlin, New York. 1995
- Logical Atomism and Combinatorial Possibility The Philosopher's Annual edited by Grim, P., Mar, G., Williams, P. Atascadero: Ridgeview. 1995: 219–232
- Introduction to the Nobel Symposium on Game Theory Games and Economic Behavior 1995; 8: 3-5
- Inductivism The Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy edited by Audi, R. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1995: 368, 369, 468
- Induction, Mathematical The Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy edited by Audi, R. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1995: 365, 369, 468
- Induction The Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy edited by Audi, R. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1995: 368, 369, 468
- Convergence in Radical Probabilism PSA 1994 edited by Hull, D., Forbes, M., Burian, R., Lansing, M. E. Michigan: Philosophy of Science Association. 1995: 349–353
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STRICT COHERENCE, SIGMA COHERENCE AND THE METAPHYSICS OF QUANTITY
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
1995; 77 (1): 39-55
View details for Web of Science ID A1995QE80400002
- Adams Conditionals Probability and Conditionals edited by Skyrms, B., Eells, E. E. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1995: 13–26
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DARWIN MEETS THE LOGIC OF DECISION - CORRELATION IN EVOLUTIONARY GAME-THEORY
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1994; 61 (4): 503-528
View details for Web of Science ID A1994PW48100001
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SEX AND JUSTICE
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1994; 91 (6): 305-320
View details for Web of Science ID A1994NP54800002
- Bayesian Projectibility Grue: Essays on the New Riddle of Induction edited by Stalker, D. Chicago: Open Court. 1994: 241–262
- Sex and Justice The Philosopher's Annual edited by Grim, P. Atascadero: Ridgeview. 1994: 217–232
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A MISTAKE IN DYNAMIC COHERENCE ARGUMENTS - DISCUSSION
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1993; 60 (2): 320-328
View details for Web of Science ID A1993LD53300008
- Analogy by Similarity in HyperCarnapian Inductive Logic Philosophical Problems of the Internal and External Worlds: Essays On the Philosophy of Adolf Grunbaum edited by Earman, J., Janis, A., Massey, G. J., Rescher, N. University of Pittsburgh Press: Pittsburgh. 1993: 273–282
- Deliberational Correlated Equilibria Philosophical Topics 1993; 21: 191-227
- Carnapian Inductive Logic for a Value Continuum The Philosophy of Science edited by Wettstein, H. University of Notre Dame Press: South Bend, Indiana. 1993: 78–89
- Logical Atomism and Combinatorial Possibility The Journal of Philosophy 1993; 90 (1993): 219-232
- Chaos in Game Dynamics Journal of Logic,Language and Information 1992; 1: 111-130
- Coherence, Probability and Induction Rationality in Epistemology edited by Villanueva, E. Ridgeview: Atascadero, California. 1992: 215–226
- Chaos and the Explanatory Significance of Equilibrium: Strange Attractors in Evolutionary Game Dynamics PSA 1992; 2: 374-394
- Carnapian Inductive Logic for Markov Chains Erkenntnis 1991; 35: 439-460
- Quantification, Modality and Semantic Ascent Causality, Method and Modality edited by Brittan, G. G. Kluwer: Dordrecht. 1991: 175–183
- Stability and Chance Existence and Explanation edited by Spohn, W. 1991: 149–161
- The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Mass. 1990
- Ratifiability and the Logic of Decision Philosophy of the Human Sciences edited by French, P. University of Notre Dame Press: Notre Dame, Indiana. 1990: 44–56
- The Value of Knowledge Scientific Theories edited by Savage, C. W. University of Minnesota Press: Minneapolis. 1990: 245–266
- Introduction to `Three Theorems of Metaphysics' Synthese 1989; 81: 203-205
- A Primer on Determinism Foundations of Physics 1989; 19: 111-113
- Tractarian Nominalism A Combinatorial Theory of Possibility edited by Armstrong, D. M. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 1989
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PROBABILITY AND CAUSATION
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
1988; 39 (1-2): 53-68
View details for Web of Science ID A1988P991600004
- Conditional Chance Probability and Causality: Essays in Honor of Wesley Salmon edited by Fetzer, J. Reidel:Dordrecht,Holland. 1988: 161–178
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UPDATING, SUPPOSING, AND MAXENT
THEORY AND DECISION
1987; 22 (3): 225-246
View details for Web of Science ID A1987J088500004
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DYNAMIC COHERENCE AND PROBABILITY KINEMATICS
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1987; 54 (1): 1-20
View details for Web of Science ID A1987G077500001
- Dynamic Coherence Advances in the Statistical Sciences: Vol.II Foundations of Statistical Inference edited by MacNeil, I. B., Umphrey, G. Reidel:Dordrecht. 1987: 233–243
- Choice and Chance: An Introduction to Inductive Logic Wadsworth: Belmont, California. 1986
- EPR and the Metaphysics of Causation Symposium on the Foundations of Modern Physics:50 Years of the EPR Gadanken Experiment edited by Lakki, P., Mittlestadt, P. World Scientific Publishing Co.:Singapore. 1986: 609–623
- Coherence Scientific Inquiry in Philosophical Perspective edited by Rescher, N. University of Pittsburgh Press: Pittsburgh,. 1986: 225–242
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MAXIMUM-ENTROPY INFERENCE AS A SPECIAL CASE OF CONDITIONALIZATION
SYNTHESE
1985; 63 (1): 55-74
View details for Web of Science ID A1985AGX8300003
- Pragmatics and the Principle of Empiricism The Heritage of Logical Positivism edited by Rescher, N. University Press of America: New York, London. 1985: 23–28
- Pragmatics and Empiricism Yale University Press: New Haven. 1984
- EPR: Lessons for Metaphysics Causation and Causal Theories edited by Wettstein, H. University of Minnesota Press: Minneapolis. 1984: 245–255
- Intensional Aspects of Semantical Self-Reference Recent Essays on Truth and the Liar edited by Martin, R. Oxford University Press:Oxford. 1984: 119–131
- Zeno's Paradox of Measure Philosophy, Physics and Psychoanalysis edited by Cohen, R. Reidel: Dordrecht. 1983
- A Bayesian Theory of Conditionals Proceedings of the International Congress on Logic,Methodology and Philosophy of Science 1983
- Three Ways to Give a Probability Assignment a Memory Testing Scientific Theories edited by Earman, J. University of Minnesota Press: Minneapolis. 1983
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CAUSAL DECISION-THEORY
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1982; 79 (11): 695-711
View details for Web of Science ID A1982PQ65900010
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COUNTERFACTUAL DEFINITENESS AND LOCAL CAUSATION
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1982; 49 (1): 43-50
View details for Web of Science ID A1982NL33700003
- Statistical Laws and Personal Propensities PSA 1978 vol. 2 Philosophy of Science Assn.: East Lansing, Michigan. 1982
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MATES QUANTIFICATION AND INTENSIONAL LOGIC
AUSTRALASIAN JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1981; 59 (2): 177-188
View details for Web of Science ID A1981MG14700003
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TRACTARIAN NOMINALISM
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
1981; 40 (2): 199-206
View details for Web of Science ID A1981MH17100006
- Higher Order Degrees of Belief Prospects for Pragmatism: Essays in Honor of F.P.Ramsey edited by Mellor, D. H. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1980
- Causal Necessity Yale University Press: New Haven. 1980
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IMMACULATE CONCEPTION OF MODALITY OR HOW TO CONFUSE USE AND MENTION
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1978; 75 (7): 368-387
View details for Web of Science ID A1978FJ20800002
- Resiliency, Propensity and Causal Necessity The Journal of Philosophy 1977; LXXIV: 704-713
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POSSIBLE WORLDS, PHYSICS AND METAPHYSICS
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
1976; 30 (5): 323-332
View details for Web of Science ID A1976EK39000003
- Choice and Chance: An Introduction to Inductive Logic Wadsworth: Belmont, California. 1975
- Introduzione alla Logica Induttiva Societa Editrice il Mulino: Bologna. 1974
- Escolha e Acaso Cultrix/USP: Sao Paulo. 1971
- The Explication of 'X knows that p' Knowing: Essays in the Analysis of Knowledge edited by Roth, M. D., Galis, L. Random House: N.Y.. 1970
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EXPLICATION OF X KNOWS THAT P
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1967; 64 (12): 373-389
View details for Web of Science ID A1967ZC33900002
- Ten Great Ideas About Chance Princeton University Press. 2018
- Natural Social Contracts Biological Theory 2013; 8: 179-184
- Emergence of a Signaling Network with Probe and Adjust Cooperation and its Evolution edited by Calcott, B., Joyce, R., Sterelny, K. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. 2013: 265–274
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LEARNING TO SIGNAL WITH PROBE AND ADJUST
EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY
2012; 9 (2): 139-150
View details for DOI 10.1017/epi.2012.5
View details for Web of Science ID 000310511600005
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Rational Decisions (Book Review)
BRITISH JOURNAL FOR THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
2012; 63 (2): 449-453
View details for DOI 10.1093/bjps/axr020
View details for Web of Science ID 000303603600009
- Game Theory, Rationality and Evolution of the Social Contract Evolutionary Ethics III edited by Levy, N. London: Ashgate. 2010
- Evolution of Moral Norms Oxford Handbook on the Philosophy of Biology edited by Ruse, M. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2008: 434–450
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The grammar of society (Book Review)
MIND
2008; 117 (465): 167-170
View details for DOI 10.1093/mind/fzn007
View details for Web of Science ID 000253674800007
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Trust, risk, and the social contract
SYNTHESE
2008; 160 (1): 21-25
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11229-006-9075-3
View details for Web of Science ID 000251875000004
- Emergence of Information Transfer by Inductive Learning Studia Logica 2008; 89: 237-256
- Commitment Evolution of the Social Contract in Reasoning: Studies in Human Inference and its Foundations edited by Adler, J., Rips, L. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2008
- Dynamic Networks and the Stag Hunt: Some Robustness Considerations Biological Theory 2007; 2: 1-3
- Natural Justice Analyse & Kritik 2006; 28: 99-101
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'Natural justice' (Book Review)
TLS-THE TIMES LITERARY SUPPLEMENT
2005: 26-26
View details for Web of Science ID 000230450500043
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Bayes or bust?: A critical examination of Bayesian confirmation theory (Book Review)
PHILOSOPHY AND PHENOMENOLOGICAL RESEARCH
2000; 60 (3): 707-711
View details for Web of Science ID 000087151200015
- Convergence to a Signaling System Equilibrium Rationality, Rules and Structure edited by Nida-Rumeln, J., Spohn, W. Reidel: Dordrecht. 2000
- Game Theory and the Social Contract Volume II: Just Playing Economics and Philosophy 2000; 16: 167-170
- Precis of Evolution of the Social Contract Reply to Critics 1999; 59: 243-254
- The Logic of Strategy edited by Bicchieri, C., Jeffrey, R., Skyrms, B. Oxford University Press: New York. 1999
- Possible Worlds, Physics and Metaphysics Analytical Metaphysics edited by Tooley, M. New York:Garland. 1999
- Theories of Counterfactual and Subjunctive Conditionals in Contexts of Strategic Interaction Research in Economics 1999; 53: 275-291
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Subjunctive conditionals and revealed preference
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1998; 65 (4): 545-574
View details for Web of Science ID 000077956100001
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Making choices - A recasting of decision-theory (Book Review)
TLS-THE TIMES LITERARY SUPPLEMENT
1998: 30-30
View details for Web of Science ID 000071896600064
- Bayesian Subjunctive Conditionals for Games and Decisions Game Theory, Experience and Rationality edited by Leinfellner, W., Kohler, E. Dordrecht, Kluwer. 1998: 161–172
- Game Theory, Rationality and Evolution Proceedings of the 10th International Congress of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science edited by Dalla, M. L., Chiara, K., Mundici, D., van Bentham, J. 1997
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Rationality and coordination - Bicchieri,C (Book Review)
BRITISH JOURNAL FOR THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1996; 47 (4): 627-629
View details for Web of Science ID A1996VZ59500008
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Taking chances - Sobel,JH (Book Review)
PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW
1996; 105 (3): 410-413
View details for Web of Science ID A1996WZ62600008
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GAME-THEORY AND THE SOCIAL-CONTRACT - VOLUME 1 - PLAYING FAIR - BINMORE,K (Book Review)
ECONOMICA
1995; 62 (248): 577-578
View details for Web of Science ID A1995TJ61100011
- Probability and Conditionals edited by Eells, E., Skyrms, B. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. 1994
- Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science IX Proceedings of the 9th International Congress of Logic 1994: 989
- Adaptive and Inductive Deliberational Dynamics Economics and Cognitive Science edited by Bourgie, P., Walliser, B. Pergamon Press: Oxford. 1992: 93–107
- Adaptive and Inductive Deliberational Dynamics Economics and Cognitive Science edited by Bourgie, P., Walliser, B. 1992: 93–107
- Equilibria and the Dynamics of Rational Deliberation Knowledge, Belief and Strategic Interaction edited by Bicchieri, C. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 1992: 93–106
- Adaptive and Inductive Deliberational Dynamics Economics and Cognitive Science edited by Bourgine, P., Walliser, B. Pergamon Press: Oxford. 1992: 93–107
- Hypothetico-deductivism is hopeless, Waters’ Relevance Logic brings hope for hypothetico-deductivism and Grimes’ Truth, Content and Hypothetico-deductive method The Journal of Symbolic Logic 1992; 57: 756-758
- Inductive Deliberation, Admissible Acts, and Perfect Equilibrium Foundations of Decision Theory edited by Bacharach, M., Hurley, S. Blackwell: Oxford. 1991: 220–241
- Theories of Probability A Companion to Epistemology edited by Dancy , J., Sosa, E. Basil Blackwell: Oxford. 1991
- Existence and Explanation edited by Spohn, W., Van Fraassen, B., Skyrms, B. Kluwer: Dordrecht. 1991
- Deliberation and Games Economics and Artificial Intelligence Express-Tirages: Paris. 1990: 159–164
- Models of Dynamic Deliberation and the Theory of Games Proceedings of the Third Conference (TARK 1990) edited by Parikh, R. 1990
- Einfuhrung in die Inductive Logik Peter Lang: Basel. 1989
- Correlated Equilibria and the Dynamics of Rational Deliberation Erkenntnis 1989; 31: 347-364
- Causation in Decision, Belief Change and Explanation edited by Harper, W., Skyrms, B. Kluwer: Dordrecht. 1988
- Causation, Chance and Credence edited by Harper, W., Skyrms, B. Kluwer: Dordrecht. 1988
- Introduction to Probability and Causation Causation,Chance and Credence edited by Harper, W. L., Skyrms, B. 1988
- Deliberational Dynamics and the Foundations of Bayesian Game Theory Epistemology edited by Tomberlin, J. E. Ridgeview: Atascadero, California. 1988: 345–367
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PROBABILISTIC METAPHYSICS - SUPPES,P (Book Review)
PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW
1987; 96 (3): 447-450
View details for Web of Science ID A1987J665800007
- On the Principle of Total Evidence with and without Observation Sentences Proceedings of the 11th International Wittgenstein Symposium 1987: 187–95
- Presuppositions of Induction The Philosophy of Logical Mechanism edited by Salmon, M. Kluwer: Dordrecht. 1987: 285–319
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DELIBERATIONAL EQUILIBRIA
TOPOI-AN INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF PHILOSOPHY
1986; 5 (1): 59-67
View details for Web of Science ID A1986A976100006
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ULTIMATE AND PROXIMATE CONSEQUENCES IN CAUSAL DECISION-THEORY
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1985; 52 (4): 608-611
View details for Web of Science ID A1985AZB3900007
- The Logic of Decision 2nd ed. and "Preferences Among Preferences" The Journal of Symbolic Logic 1985; 50: 247-48
- The Foundations of Decision Logic The Journal of Symbolic Logic 1983; 48: 502-503
- Conditional Probabilities, Taxicabs and Martingales The Behavioral and Brain Sciences 1981: 331-32
- The Prior Propensity Account of Subjunctive Conditionals IFs edited by Harper, W., Stalnaker, R., Pearce, G. A. Reidel:Dordrecht. 1980: 259–265
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CAUSE, CHANCE AND REASON - BURKS,A (Book Review)
THEORY AND DECISION
1980; 12 (3): 299-309
View details for Web of Science ID A1980KJ59300006
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RATIONAL BELIEF SYSTEMS - ELLIS,B (Book Review)
AUSTRALASIAN JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1980; 58 (1): 65-71
View details for Web of Science ID A1980JV80000009
- Definitions of Semantical Reference and Self-Reference Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 1976; XVII: 147-148
- Physical Laws and the Nature of Philosophical Reduction Minnesota Studies in the Philosophy of Science VI edited by Feigl, H., Sellars, W. University of Minnesota Press: Minneapolis, Minn. 1975: 496–529
- Contraposition of the Conditional Philosophical Studies 1974; 26: 145-147
- The Goodman Paradox Readings in Philosophical Analysis edited by Heigl, H., Sellar, W., Lehrer, K. Appleton,Century Crofts: N.Y.. 1972
- Notes on Quantification and Self-Reference The Liar edited by Martin, R. Yale University Press: New Haven. 1971: 67–74
- Return of the Liar: Three Valued Logic and the Nature of Truth American Philosophical Quarterly 1970; VII: 153-161
- A Methodological Problem in the Evaluation of Explanations Nous 1968
- A Neglected Logical Lapse in Reichenbach's Pragmatic Justification of Induction Methodology and Science 1968; 1: 155-159
- Science and Subjectivity The Journal of Philosophy 1968; LXV: 794-799
- A Methodological Problem in the Evaluation of Explanations Nous 1968
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SUPERVALUATIONS - IDENTITY, EXISTENCE, AND INDIVIDUAL CONCEPTS
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY
1968; 65 (16): 477-482
View details for Web of Science ID A1968ZE30600003
- Comments on Ackerman's `Problems Philosophical Logic edited by Davis, J. W., Hockney, D. J., Wilson, W. K. Reidel: Dordrecht. 1968: 155–157
- A Methodological Problem in the Evaluation of Explanations Nous 1968: 121-129
- Nomological Necessity and the Paradoxes of Confirmation Philosophy of Science 1966; XXXIII: 230-249
- Choice and Chance: An Introduction to Inductive Logic Dickenson: Belmont, California. 1966
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NECESSITY, THE A PRIORI, AND UNEXPRESSIBLE STATEMENTS
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
1965; 16 (5): 65-74
View details for Web of Science ID A1965CFA5000001
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ON FAILING TO VINDICATE INDUCTION
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
1965; 32 (3): 253-268
View details for Web of Science ID A1965CAA2600004
- Professor Grunbaum and Teleological Mechanisms Philosophy of Science 1964; XXXI
- Falsifiability and the Logic of Experimental Tests Methodos 1962; XIV: 1-13