Chenfei Qu
Postdoctoral Scholar, Environmental Social Sciences
Bio
Chenfei Qu’s research focuses on climate change economics, including emissions trading systems, carbon pricing, air pollution, and integrated assessment of climate and energy policies, with an emphasis on general equilibrium modeling for policy analysis in developing countries. She holds a Ph.D. in Management Science and Technology and a Bachelor’s degree in Environmental Management, both from Tsinghua University. Chenfei Qu was a visiting scholar at the ZEW–Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research in 2024. Her work has been published in journals such as Climate Change Economics, Advances in Climate Change Research, and Environmental Science & Technology.
Honors & Awards
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Best Conference Paper Golden Prize, Conference of the Chinese Association of Environment and Resource Economists (CAERE) (2024)
All Publications
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Plausible global emissions scenario for 2 °C aligned with China's net-zero pathway.
Nature communications
2025; 16 (1): 8102
Abstract
Due to sizeable anthropogenic CO2 emissions, China's transition towards carbon neutrality will reshape global CO2 emissions, offering insights into warming levels, extreme events, overshoot, tipping points, and regional climate impacts. Here we develop an interdisciplinary and multi-model framework integrating up-to-date emissions inventory and China's net-zero pathway to construct a reality-aligned, sector-specific combined scenario (SSP2-com) for greenhouse gases and air pollutants across global-to-regional, national-to-provincial, and multi-resolution-grid scales. SSP2-com projects CO₂ peaking in concentration globally by 2062, and achieving net-zero emissions by 2072, driven by Asia-Pacific-particularly China-via energy and industrial reductions. Climate emulators show global temperatures initially track SSP2-4.5 but later diverge onto a distinct trajectory, reaching 2.01 °C by 2100 ( ~ 3.2 Watt m⁻²) and dropping below 2 °C within the first post-2100 decade, relevant to the Paris Agreement target. We further propose an evolving SSP2-com+ framework with updated trajectories to enhance timely alignment and cooperation. Our findings indicate balanced, nationally-determined decarbonization can stabilize warming near 2 °C without early unprecedented decarbonization rates or large-scale carbon removal, aligning better with current status and commitments for more plausible Earth system model inputs.
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41467-025-62983-5
View details for PubMedID 40883267
View details for PubMedCentralID 9385658
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Climate Actions, Persistent Pollutants, and Human Health: A Call for Integrated Assessments
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
2024
View details for DOI 10.1021/acs.est.4c07707
View details for Web of Science ID 001300729700001
View details for PubMedID 39197124
- Rate-Based Emissions Trading with Overlapping Policies: Insights from Theory and an Application to China NBER working paper. 2024 (w33197):
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Exploring US-China climate cooperation through linked carbon markets
ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
2023; 14 (1): 145-155
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000951562600001
- China’s nationwide Co2 emissions trading system: A general equilibrium assessment NBER working paper. 2023 (w31809):
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Understanding China's largest sustainability experiment: Atmospheric and climate governance in the Yangtze river economic belt as a lens
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
2021; 290
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125760
View details for Web of Science ID 000620275500013
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ESTIMATING HEALTH CO-BENEFITS OF CLIMATE POLICIES IN CHINA: AN APPLICATION OF THE REGIONAL EMISSIONS-AIR QUALITY-CLIMATE-HEALTH (REACH) FRAMEWORK
CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS
2020; 11 (3)
View details for DOI 10.1142/S2010007820410043
View details for Web of Science ID 000586835300005
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Are China's Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) so bad?
SCIENCE BULLETIN
2019; 64 (6): 364-366
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.scib.2019.01.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000472930200006
View details for PubMedID 36659723