Eric Lambin
George and Setsuko Ishiyama Provostial Professor and Senior Fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment
Earth System Science
Bio
Eric Lambin, a geographer and environmental scientist, divides his time between the UCLouvain (Belgium) and Stanford University, were he occupies the Ishiyama Provostial Professorship at the Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability and the Woods Institute for the Environment. His research tries to better understand causes and impacts of land use changes in different parts of the world. He was Chair of the international scientific project Land Use and Land Cover Change (LUCC) from 1999 to 2005. He was awarded the 2009 Francqui Prize, the 2014 Volvo Environment Prize, and the 2019 Blue Planet Prize. He is International Fellow at the U.S. National Academy of Sciences and member of four Academies of Science in Europe. Since 2021, he is also member of the Group of Chief Scientific Advisors to the European Commission.
Eric Lambin is taking a leave of absence from Stanford University for the 2024-25 and 2025-26 academic years to focus on his work in Europe.
Academic Appointments
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Professor, Earth System Science
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Senior Fellow, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment
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Faculty Affiliate, Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI)
Administrative Appointments
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George and Setsuko Ishiyama Provostial Professor, Stanford University (2010 - Present)
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Fellow, Center for Advanced Studies in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University (2002 - 2003)
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Professor, University of Louvain, Belgium (1995 - Present)
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Expert, Joint Research Center (Ispra, Italy), European Commission, European Commission (1993 - 1995)
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Assistant professor, Boston University (1991 - 1993)
Honors & Awards
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Blue Planet Prize, Asahi Glass Foundation, Japan (2019)
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Beijer Fellow, Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden (2016)
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Honorary degree “Doctor rerum naturalium honoris causa”, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany (2016)
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Highly Cited Researcher, Thomson Reuters (2014)
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Volvo Environment Prize, Volvo Environment Prize Foundation, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (2014)
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Fellow, European Academy of Sciences (2010)
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Member, Academia Europaea (2010)
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Prix du livre Environnement pour “Une Ecologie du Bonheur”, Veolia (2010)
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Francqui prize in Sciences, Francqui Foundation (2009)
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International Fellow, U.S. National Academy of Sciences (2009)
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Membre, Académie Royale des sciences, des lettres & des beaux-arts de Belgique (2006)
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Chair, Land-Use & Land-Cover Change (LUCC) project of the IGBP and IHDP (1999 - 2005)
Boards, Advisory Committees, Professional Organizations
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Academic Advisory Council of Voluntary Sustainability Standards, United Nations Forum on Sustainability Standards (2021 - Present)
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Advisory Board, Chapter Zero Brussels - Climate Governance Initiative, World Economic Forum (2021 - Present)
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Member of the Group of Chief Scientific Advisors, European Commission (2021 - Present)
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Advisory Board, Landscape Ecology (2019 - Present)
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International Science Advisory Council, Stockholm Resilience Centre (2019 - Present)
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Review Editor, Global Assessment of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) (2017 - 2018)
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Editorial Board, Global Sustainability (2016 - 2021)
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Co-Chair of Department, Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University (2013 - 2016)
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External Advisory Board, National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC), USA (2012 - 2013)
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Board of Directors, Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, Stockholm (2011 - 2017)
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Research Council, University of Louvain (2006 - 2009)
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Associate Editor, Ecology and Society: A journal of integrative science for resilience and sustainability (2005 - Present)
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Steering Committee, Global Terrestrial Observing System (2005 - 2010)
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Editorial Board, Global Environmental Change (2004 - 2015)
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Science Advisory Committee, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria (2004 - 2011)
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Editorial Board, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (2002 - 2006)
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Editorial Board, Ecosystems (2001 - 2004)
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Chair of Department, Geography and Geology, University of Louvain (2000 - 2003)
Program Affiliations
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Center for East Asian Studies
Professional Education
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PhD, University of Louvain, Belgium, Sciences, Geography (1988)
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M.S., University of Louvain, Belgium, Geography (1985)
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B.A., University of Louvain, Belgium, Philosophy (1985)
Current Research and Scholarly Interests
My research aims at better understanding the causes and impacts of land use changes both globally and in ‘hot spots’ of environmental change. I work at the interface between natural and social sciences. I am conducting a number of land system change studies in different parts of the world using methods that link remote sensing data with socio-economic data. My research reveals cross-scale dynamics causing tropical deforestation, forest transitions, and dryland degradation. My research is focused on solutions for sustainable land use and has implications for land use governance.
My research uses original approaches to link geo-referenced socio-economic data with biophysical data to better understand the causes of land use change and their impacts on ecosystem attributes. Methods linking “people to pixels” (i.e., joint statistical analysis of fine resolution remote sensing data with geo-referenced, detailed household survey data) allow for a spatial disaggregation of land use studies at the level of decision-making agents. This has led to a new understanding of the complexity of land change processes. My research also investigates human and ecosystem responses to land change. Social and ecological feedbacks of land use change are sources of non-linear dynamics and land-use transitions. With my research team, we conduct detailed analyses of the main cases of contemporary forest transitions, whereby a country shifts from net deforestation to net reforestation. Our research on Vietnam, Bhutan, Chile, Costa Rica provided a rich understanding of how to “bend the curve” in land use. Several generic pathways leading to forest transitions were identified.
This research on forest transitions also revealed something quite unexpected: all countries that protected their forests and reversed deforestation simultaneously increased their imports of wood and agricultural products from other countries. They were thus all off-shoring their deforestation to other countries by displacing their land use beyond their borders. This latter discovery led to new research projects on the link between economic globalization and land use, which is now referred to as “telecoupling”.
A major policy implication of these findings is that national land use policies alone were not sufficient to achieve global forest conservation, given a leakage (or geographic displacement) of land use change to other places. The next logical step was thus to analyze how the governance of global supply chains in agricultural and forestry products could lead to more sustainable land use. With my team, we then conducted a series of evaluations of the effectiveness of eco-certification schemes and sustainable sourcing commitments by the private sector. These were among the very first studies analyzing empirically, using the most rigorous methods, the impact of supply chain interventions on land use. One of the key finding was that the effectiveness of a private governance of land use depends on supportive public policies. One of our current contributions is thus to analyze systematically the interactions between governments, NGOs, and companies for the design and implementation of interventions for sustainable land use.
I have supervised many PhD students and postdocs, with 38 PhDs completed so far under my supervision, and five current PhD students. Many of my past graduate students have become highly productive scholars in top universities. Others occupy key science or policy positions.
2024-25 Courses
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Independent Studies (5)
- Directed Individual Study in Earth Systems
EARTHSYS 297 (Aut, Win, Spr, Sum) - Directed Reading in Environment and Resources
ENVRES 398 (Aut, Win, Spr, Sum) - Directed Research
EARTHSYS 250 (Aut, Win, Spr, Sum) - Directed Research in Environment and Resources
ENVRES 399 (Aut, Win, Spr, Sum) - Honors Program in Earth Systems
EARTHSYS 199 (Aut, Win, Spr, Sum)
- Directed Individual Study in Earth Systems
- Prior Year Courses
Stanford Advisees
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Doctoral Dissertation Reader (AC)
Nina Berlin Rubin, Christine Pu -
Doctoral Dissertation Co-Advisor (AC)
Fridah Nyakundi
All Publications
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Land system governance shapes tick-related public and animal health risks
JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
2024; 19 (1): 78-96
View details for DOI 10.1080/1747423X.2024.2330379
View details for Web of Science ID 001199400600001
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Reversing degradation of social-ecological systems: explaining the outcomes of interventions in Africa
SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE
2024
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11625-024-01568-5
View details for Web of Science ID 001344986100001
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Interventions to control forest loss in a swidden cultivation landscape in Nan Province, Thailand
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
2024; 24 (3)
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10113-024-02286-5
View details for Web of Science ID 001291282800001
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Land conflicts from overlapping claims in Brazil's rural environmental registry.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2024; 121 (33): e2407357121
Abstract
Satellite-based land use monitoring and farm-level traceability offer opportunities for targeted zero-deforestation interventions on private lands. Brazil's Rural Environmental Registry (Cadastro Ambiental Rural, or "CAR"), a land cadaster based on self-declaration of property boundaries, was created to monitor compliance with national forest laws. It has become an important enabling measure for sustainable supply chain initiatives like the Amazon Soy Moratorium. However, CAR enrollment is increasingly used to bolster illegal land claims, putting it at the heart of land grabbing dynamics. Self-declaration of properties in the CAR offers a unique situation to study land conflicts and their impact on land use decisions on a large scale. We quantified competing land claims among 846,420 registrations in the Brazilian Legal Amazon and applied a series of generalized linear mixed-effects models. We determined that CAR overlaps are more prevalent on larger registrations, in more densely settled areas, and in areas with less secure land tenure. We tested how landholders respond to land conflicts, finding significantly more deforestation and declared legal forest reserve on lands with multiple claims. CAR overlap results in an overestimation of forest reserves by up to 9.7 million hectares when considering double-counted and deforested areas of reserves, highlighting an overlooked form of Forest Code noncompliance. While the CAR continues to be used as evidence of land tenure, we conclude that the formalization of land claims through self-declarations is inadequate to decrease conflicts. CAR overlap information provides objective evidence of land conflict that authorities can leverage with field inspection to ensure peaceful occupation before issuing land titles.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.2407357121
View details for PubMedID 39110724
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Global governance through voluntary sustainability standards: Developments, trends and challenges
GLOBAL POLICY
2024
View details for DOI 10.1111/1758-5899.13401
View details for Web of Science ID 001258150100001
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The role of household labour for sustainable intensification in smallholder systems: a case study in cocoa farming systems
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
2024; 24 (2)
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10113-024-02243-2
View details for Web of Science ID 001227024500002
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How poverty is measured impacts who gets classified as impoverished.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2024; 121 (7): e2316730121
Abstract
We test whether the classification of households into poverty categories is meaningfully influenced by the poverty measurement approach that is employed. These classification techniques are widely used by governments, non-profit organizations, and development agencies for policy design and implementation. Using primary data collected in Ethiopia, Ghana, and Uganda, we find almost no agreement in how four commonly used approaches rank 16,150 households in terms of poverty status. This result holds for each country, for urban and rural households, and across the entire socio-economic distribution. Households' poverty rankings differ by an entire quartile on average. Conclusions about progress toward poverty alleviation goals may depend in large part on how poverty is measured.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.2316730121
View details for PubMedID 38315862
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Modeling conditions for effective and equitable land use governance in tropical forest frontiers
ONE EARTH
2023; 6 (12)
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.10.013
View details for Web of Science ID 001138568700001
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Public policies and vested interests preserve the animal farming status quo at the expense of animal product analogs
ONE EARTH
2023; 6 (9): 1213-1226
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.07.013
View details for Web of Science ID 001080465000001
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Implementation of sustainable farming practices by cocoa farmers in Ecuador and Uganda: the influence of value chain factors
FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS
2023; 7
View details for DOI 10.3389/fsufs.2023.1167683
View details for Web of Science ID 001044590200001
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Colombian biodiversity is governed by a rich and diverse policy mix.
Nature ecology & evolution
2023
Abstract
We lack an understanding of how diverse policymakers interact to govern biodiversity. Taking Colombia as a focal case, we examined six decades of biodiversity governance (1959-2018). Here we analysed the composition of the policy mix, and how it has evolved over time, how policies differ among lead actors and ecosystems, and whether the policy mix addresses the primary threats to biodiversity. We identified 186 biodiversity-related policies that govern multiple ecosystems, use different instruments and address the main threats to biodiversity (that is, agriculture and aquaculture, and biological resource use). We found policy gaps in the governance of invasive species and wildlife trade. Biodiversity policy integration into some sectoral policies, such as climate change, poverty and pollution, has become more common in the past decade. Our results point to an increased need for effective coordination across sectors and actors, as new ones influence and implement the policy mix.
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41559-023-01983-4
View details for PubMedID 36747078
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Collaboration in a polarized context: lessons from public forest governance in the American West
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2023; 28 (1)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-13958-280129
View details for Web of Science ID 000936358200001
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Agent-Based Simulation of Land Use Governance (ABSOLUG) in Tropical Commodity Frontiers
JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION
2023; 26 (1)
View details for DOI 10.18564/jasss.4951
View details for Web of Science ID 000927100000006
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Deforestation-Free Commodity Supply Chains: Myth or Reality?
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES
2023; 48: 237-261
View details for DOI 10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-121436
View details for Web of Science ID 001101629000009
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How do companies implement their zero-deforestation commitments
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
2022; 375
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134056
View details for Web of Science ID 000862715500005
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Landowner decisions regarding utility-scale solar energy on working lands: a qualitative case study in California
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS
2022; 4 (5)
View details for DOI 10.1088/2515-7620/ac6fbf
View details for Web of Science ID 000800010000001
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Agents of Forest Disturbance in the Argentine Dry Chaco
REMOTE SENSING
2022; 14 (7)
View details for DOI 10.3390/rs14071758
View details for Web of Science ID 000781190000001
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Deep Learning Segmentation of Satellite Imagery Identifies Aquatic Vegetation Associated with Snail Intermediate Hosts of Schistosomiasis in Senegal, Africa
REMOTE SENSING
2022; 14 (6)
View details for DOI 10.3390/rs14061345
View details for Web of Science ID 000774465700001
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Ten facts about land systems for sustainability.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2022; 119 (7)
Abstract
Land use is central to addressing sustainability issues, including biodiversity conservation, climate change, food security, poverty alleviation, and sustainable energy. In this paper, we synthesize knowledge accumulated in land system science, the integrated study of terrestrial social-ecological systems, into 10 hard truths that have strong, general, empirical support. These facts help to explain the challenges of achieving sustainability in land use and thus also point toward solutions. The 10 facts are as follows: 1) Meanings and values of land are socially constructed and contested; 2) land systems exhibit complex behaviors with abrupt, hard-to-predict changes; 3) irreversible changes and path dependence are common features of land systems; 4) some land uses have a small footprint but very large impacts; 5) drivers and impacts of land-use change are globally interconnected and spill over to distant locations; 6) humanity lives on a used planet where all land provides benefits to societies; 7) land-use change usually entails trade-offs between different benefits-"win-wins" are thus rare; 8) land tenure and land-use claims are often unclear, overlapping, and contested; 9) the benefits and burdens from land are unequally distributed; and 10) land users have multiple, sometimes conflicting, ideas of what social and environmental justice entails. The facts have implications for governance, but do not provide fixed answers. Instead they constitute a set of core principles which can guide scientists, policy makers, and practitioners toward meeting sustainability challenges in land use.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.2109217118
View details for PubMedID 35131937
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Effectiveness of community forests for forest conservation in Nan province, Thailand
JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
2022; 17 (1): 307-323
View details for DOI 10.1080/1747423X.2022.2078438
View details for Web of Science ID 000802086100001
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Commentary: Policy challenges for global land use
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2021; 71
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102411
View details for Web of Science ID 000730840000006
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Policy sequencing to reduce tropical deforestation
GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
2021; 4
View details for DOI 10.1017/sus.2021.21
View details for Web of Science ID 000721282100001
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Characterizing forest disturbances across the Argentine Dry Chaco based on Landsat time series
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
2021; 98
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jag.2021.102310
View details for Web of Science ID 000632600800002
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Sustainability of the global sand system in the Anthropocene
ONE EARTH
2021; 4 (5): 639-650
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.011
View details for Web of Science ID 000655035700012
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Author Correction: Oil palm expansion and deforestation in Southwest Cameroon associated with proliferation of informal mills.
Nature communications
2021; 12 (1): 2270
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41467-021-22418-3
View details for PubMedID 33837192
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From land-use/land-cover to land system science : This article belongs to Ambio's 50th Anniversary Collection. Theme: Agricultural land use.
Ambio
2021
View details for DOI 10.1007/s13280-021-01510-4
View details for PubMedID 33713293
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Institutional changes drive land use transitions on rangelands: The case of grazing on public lands in the American West
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2021; 66
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102220
View details for Web of Science ID 000615870200003
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Payments for ecosystem services within the hybrid governance model: evaluating policy alignment and complementarity on California rangelands
Ecology & Society
2021; 26 (1)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-12254-260119
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Jurisdictional approaches to sustainable resource use
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
2021
View details for DOI 10.1002/fee.2299
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Climate predicts geographic and temporal variation in mosquito-borne disease dynamics on two continents.
Nature communications
2021; 12 (1): 1233
Abstract
Climate drives population dynamics through multiple mechanisms, which can lead to seemingly context-dependent effects of climate on natural populations. For climate-sensitive diseases, such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika, climate appears to have opposing effects in different contexts. Here we show that a model, parameterized with laboratory measured climate-driven mosquito physiology, captures three key epidemic characteristics across ecologically and culturally distinct settings in Ecuador and Kenya: the number, timing, and duration of outbreaks. The model generates a range of disease dynamics consistent with observed Aedes aegypti abundances and laboratory-confirmed arboviral incidence with variable accuracy (28-85% for vectors, 44-88% for incidence). The model predicted vector dynamics better in sites with a smaller proportion of young children in the population, lower mean temperature, and homes with piped water and made of cement. Models with limited calibration that robustly capture climate-virus relationships can help guide intervention efforts and climate change disease projections.
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41467-021-21496-7
View details for PubMedID 33623008
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Sustainability strategies by companies in the global coffee sector
BUSINESS STRATEGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT
2020
View details for DOI 10.1002/bse.2596
View details for Web of Science ID 000560917700001
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Scaling up Solutions for a Sustainability Transition
ONE EARTH
2020; 3 (1): 89-96
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000645265800015
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Adolescents' Health Perceptions of Natural American Spirit's On-the-Pack Eco-Friendly Campaign.
The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine
2020
Abstract
PURPOSE: Natural American Spirit (NAS) cigarettes, which have recently grown in popularity, are marketed as eco-friendly and natural. The present study examined whether NAS's on-the-pack messaging influences adolescents' health perceptions of the brand.METHODS: In a mixed-factor design, adolescent participants (N= 1,003, ages 13-17, 75% female) were randomized to one of the six exposure conditions. All viewed images of an NAS and a Pall Mall (comparison brand) cigarette pack, but differed in pack color (blue, green, or gold/orange) and brand viewed first. Perceptions of pack logos, addictiveness, harms to the smoker, others, and the environment were assessed directly after viewing pack images for each brand.RESULTS: Adolescents who perceived NAS as more pro-environment tended to perceive NAS cigarettes to be less addictive, r=-.19, p < .01. NAS cigarettes also were perceived as less addictive and better for the environment than Pall Mall. Most (90%) participants provided nature-friendly words (e.g., environment, recycle) when asked to describe logos on the NAS packs. In adjusted models, relative to Pall Mall, NAS was perceived as healthier for smokers, healthier for smokers' family and friends, and safer for the environment. Findings did not differ by pack color and ever tobacco use.CONCLUSIONS: Adolescents perceived a health advantage for NAS cigarettes with its on-the-pack, eco-friendly and pro-health marketing. The findings are consistent with prior research with adults. Given the accumulating evidence of consumer misperceptions, eco-friendly messaging on cigarettes is a public health concern that warrants further consideration for regulatory intervention.
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2020.06.033
View details for PubMedID 32713741
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Impacts of Chilean forest subsidies on forest cover, carbon and biodiversity
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
2020
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41893-020-0547-0
View details for Web of Science ID 000542089900002
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Improving smallholder livelihoods and ecosystems through direct trade relations: High-quality cocoa producers in Ecuador
BUSINESS STRATEGY AND DEVELOPMENT
2020; 3 (2): 165–84
View details for DOI 10.1002/bsd2.86
View details for Web of Science ID 000541088500002
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Scaling up zero-deforestation initiatives through public-private partnerships: A look inside post-conflict Colombia
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2020; 62
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102055
View details for Web of Science ID 000536128000012
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Habitat fragmentation, livelihood behaviors, and contact between people and nonhuman primates in Africa
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2020
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10980-020-00995-w
View details for Web of Science ID 000522914000004
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Social dimensions of fertility behavior and consumption patterns in the Anthropocene.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2020
Abstract
We consider two aspects of the human enterprise that profoundly affect the global environment: population and consumption. We show that fertility and consumption behavior harbor a class of externalities that have not been much noted in the literature. Both are driven in part by attitudes and preferences that are not egoistic but socially embedded; that is, each household's decisions are influenced by the decisions made by others. In a famous paper, Garrett Hardin [G. Hardin, Science 162, 1243-1248 (1968)] drew attention to overpopulation and concluded that the solution lay in people "abandoning the freedom to breed." That human attitudes and practices are socially embedded suggests that it is possible for people to reduce their fertility rates and consumption demands without experiencing a loss in wellbeing. We focus on fertility in sub-Saharan Africa and consumption in the rich world and argue that bottom-up social mechanisms rather than top-down government interventions are better placed to bring about those ecologically desirable changes.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1909857117
View details for PubMedID 32165543
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An invitation for more research on transnational corporations and the biosphere.
Nature ecology & evolution
2020
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41559-020-1145-2
View details for PubMedID 32112049
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Transnational corporations and the challenge of biosphere stewardship.
Nature ecology & evolution
2019
Abstract
Sustainability within planetary boundaries requires concerted action by individuals, governments, civil society and private actors. For the private sector, there is concern that the power exercised by transnational corporations generates, and is even central to, global environmental change. Here, we ask under which conditions transnational corporations could either hinder or promote a global shift towards sustainability. We show that a handful of transnational corporations have become a major force shaping the global intertwined system of people and planet. Transnational corporations in agriculture, forestry, seafood, cement, minerals and fossil energy cause environmental impacts and possess the ability to influence critical functions of the biosphere. We review evidence of current practices and identify six observed features of change towards 'corporate biosphere stewardship', with significant potential for upscaling. Actions by transnational corporations, if combined with effective public policies and improved governmental regulations, could substantially accelerate sustainability efforts.
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41559-019-0978-z
View details for PubMedID 31527729
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The Restructuring of South American Soy and Beef Production and Trade Under Changing Environmental Regulations
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
2019; 121: 188–202
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.05.034
View details for Web of Science ID 000472699700014
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Health Beliefs of American Indian Imagery on Natural American Spirit Packs
TOBACCO REGULATORY SCIENCE
2019; 5 (4): 369–80
View details for DOI 10.18001/TRS.5.4.7
View details for Web of Science ID 000474418000007
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Lack of association between deforestation and either sustainability commitments or fines in private concessions in the Peruvian Amazon
FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
2019; 104: 1–8
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.forpol.2019.03.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000467538700001
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Governing flows in telecoupled land systems
CURRENT OPINION IN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
2019; 38: 53–59
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.cosust.2019.05.004
View details for Web of Science ID 000480419900009
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Geographical heterogeneity in mountain grasslands dynamics in the Austrian-Italian Tyrol region
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2019; 106: 50–59
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.03.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000466827700005
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Oil palm expansion and deforestation in Southwest Cameroon associated with proliferation of informal mills
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
2019; 10
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41467-018-07915-2
View details for Web of Science ID 000455354800011
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Natural American Spirit's pro-environment packaging and perceptions of reduced-harm cigarettes.
Preventive medicine
2019: 105782
Abstract
Natural American Spirit (NAS) cigarettes feature a pro-environment marketing campaign on the packs. The NAS "Respect for the Earth" campaign is the first example of on-the-pack corporate social responsibility advertising. In a randomized survey design, we tested perceptions of NAS relative to other cigarette brands on harms to self, others, and the environment. Never (n = 421), former (n = 135), and current (n = 358) US adult smokers were recruited for an online survey from January through March 2018. All participants viewed packs of both NAS and Pall Mall. Participants were randomized to view NAS vs. Pall Mall and to pack color (blue, green, or yellow/orange), which was matched between brands. Survey items assessed perceptions of health risk of the cigarette brand to self, others, and the environment and perceptions of the manufacturer. Consistently on all measures, NAS cigarettes were rated as less harmful for oneself, others, and the environment relative to Pall Mall (p's < .001). Though Reynolds American manufactures both brands, participants rated the company behind NAS as more socially responsible than the company behind Pall Mall, F[1, 909] = 110.25, p < .001. The NAS advantage was significant irrespective of smoking status, pack color, and brand order, with findings stronger for current than never smokers. Pro-environmental marketing on NAS cigarette packs contributes to misperceptions that the product is safer for people and the environment than other cigarettes and made by a company that is more socially responsible. Stricter government regulations on the use of pro-environment terms in marketing that imply modified risk is needed.
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.105782
View details for PubMedID 31325524
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Overlapping land allocations reduce deforestation in Peru
LAND USE POLICY
2018; 79: 174–78
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.08.002
View details for Web of Science ID 000454378800016
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The demise of caterpillar fungus in the Himalayan region due to climate change and overharvesting
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2018; 115 (45): 11489–94
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1811591115
View details for Web of Science ID 000449459000058
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Impacts of shaded agroforestry management on carbon sequestration, biodiversity and farmers income in cocoa production landscapes
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2018; 33 (11): 1953–74
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10980-018-0714-0
View details for Web of Science ID 000449117400010
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Middle-range theories of land system change
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2018; 53: 52-67
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000455061900005
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Intensification in agriculture-forest frontiers: Land use responses to development and conservation policies in Brazil
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2018; 53: 233–43
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.09.011
View details for Web of Science ID 000455061900021
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Europe's renewable energy directive poised to harm global forests
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
2018; 9: 3741
Abstract
This comment raises concerns regarding the way in which a new European directive, aimed at reaching higher renewable energy targets, treats wood harvested directly for bioenergy use as a carbon-free fuel. The result could consume quantities of wood equal to all Europe's wood harvests, greatly increase carbon in the air for decades, and set a dangerous global example.
View details for PubMedID 30209361
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Challenges in Attributing Avoided Deforestation to Policies and Actors: Lessons From Provincial Forest Zoning in the Argentine Dry Chaco
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
2018; 150: 346–52
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.03.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000444364000030
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Impact of land-use zoning for forest protection and production on forest cover changes in Bhutan
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2018; 96: 153–65
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.04.011
View details for Web of Science ID 000436053300014
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Constraints to farming in the Mediterranean Alps: Reconciling environmental and agricultural policies
LAND USE POLICY
2018; 75: 726–33
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.11.047
View details for Web of Science ID 000434239300068
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Companies' contribution to sustainability through global supply chains
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2018; 115 (9): 2072–77
Abstract
Global supply chains play a critical role in many of the most pressing environmental stresses and social struggles identified by the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Responding to calls from the global community, companies are adopting a variety of voluntary practices to improve the environmental and/or social management of their suppliers' activities. We develop a global survey of 449 publicly listed companies in the food, textile, and wood-products sectors with annual reports in English to provide insight into how the private sector contributes to advancing the SDGs via such sustainable-sourcing practices. We find that while 52% of companies use at least one sustainable-sourcing practice, these practices are limited in scope; 71% relates to only one or a few input materials and 60.5% apply to only first-tier suppliers. We also find that sustainable-sourcing practices typically address a small subset of the sustainability challenges laid out by the SDGs, primarily focusing on labor rights and compliance with national laws. Consistent with existing hypotheses, companies that face consumer and civil society pressure are associated with a significantly higher probability of adopting sustainable-sourcing practices. Our findings highlight the opportunities and limitations of corporate sustainable-sourcing practices in addressing the myriad sustainability challenges facing our world today.
View details for PubMedID 29440420
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The role of supply-chain initiatives in reducing deforestation
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
2018; 8 (2): 109–16
View details for DOI 10.1038/s41558-017-0061-1
View details for Web of Science ID 000423842400011
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Smallholders at a Crossroad: Intensify or Fall behind? Exploring Alternative Livelihood Strategies in a Globalized World
BUSINESS STRATEGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT
2018; 27 (2): 215–29
View details for DOI 10.1002/bse.2011
View details for Web of Science ID 000424334000004
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Improving environmental practices in agricultural supply chains: The role of company-led standards
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2018; 48: 32–42
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.10.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000429399000004
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Sustainability Standards: Interactions Between Private Actors, Civil Society, and Governments
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES, VOL 43
2018; 43: 369–93
View details for DOI 10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025931
View details for Web of Science ID 000448517600015
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Smallholder telecoupling and potential sustainability
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2018; 23 (1)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-09935-230130
View details for Web of Science ID 000432464800035
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Oil palm expansion in Cameroon: Insights into sustainability opportunities and challenges in Africa
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2017; 47: 190–200
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.10.009
View details for Web of Science ID 000418392300018
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Cash for carbon: A randomized trial of payments for ecosystem services to reduce deforestation
SCIENCE
2017; 357 (6348): 267–73
Abstract
We evaluated a program of payments for ecosystem services in Uganda that offered forest-owning households annual payments of 70,000 Ugandan shillings per hectare if they conserved their forest. The program was implemented as a randomized controlled trial in 121 villages, 60 of which received the program for 2 years. The primary outcome was the change in land area covered by trees, measured by classifying high-resolution satellite imagery. We found that tree cover declined by 4.2% during the study period in treatment villages, compared to 9.1% in control villages. We found no evidence that enrollees shifted their deforestation to nearby land. We valued the delayed carbon dioxide emissions and found that this program benefit is 2.4 times as large as the program costs.
View details for PubMedID 28729505
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A global, spatially-explicit assessment of irrigated croplands influenced by urban wastewater flows
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2017; 12 (7)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/aa75d1
View details for Web of Science ID 000404943700001
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Interacting effects of land use and climate on rodent-borne pathogens in central Kenya
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
2017; 372 (1722)
Abstract
Understanding the effects of anthropogenic disturbance on zoonotic disease risk is both a critical conservation objective and a public health priority. Here, we evaluate the effects of multiple forms of anthropogenic disturbance across a precipitation gradient on the abundance of pathogen-infected small mammal hosts in a multi-host, multi-pathogen system in central Kenya. Our results suggest that conversion to cropland and wildlife loss alone drive systematic increases in rodent-borne pathogen prevalence, but that pastoral conversion has no such systematic effects. The effects are most likely explained both by changes in total small mammal abundance, and by changes in relative abundance of a few high-competence species, although changes in vector assemblages may also be involved. Several pathogens responded to interactions between disturbance type and climatic conditions, suggesting the potential for synergistic effects of anthropogenic disturbance and climate change on the distribution of disease risk. Overall, these results indicate that conservation can be an effective tool for reducing abundance of rodent-borne pathogens in some contexts (e.g. wildlife loss alone); however, given the strong variation in effects across disturbance types, pathogen taxa and environmental conditions, the use of conservation as public health interventions will need to be carefully tailored to specific pathogens and human contexts.This article is part of the themed issue 'Conservation, biodiversity and infectious disease: scientific evidence and policy implications'.
View details for DOI 10.1098/rstb.2016.0116
View details for Web of Science ID 000399956400001
View details for PubMedID 28438909
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Decentralized Land Use Zoning Reduces Large-scale Deforestation in a Major Agricultural Frontier
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
2017; 136: 30-40
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.02.009
View details for Web of Science ID 000397693100003
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Deforestation risk due to commodity crop expansion in sub-Saharan Africa
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2017; 12 (4)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6509
View details for Web of Science ID 000398370600004
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Conditions influencing the adoption of effective anti-deforestation policies in South America's commodity frontiers
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2017; 43: 1-14
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.01.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000398868900001
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Unexpected Interactions between Agricultural and Forest Sectors through International Trade: Wood Pallets and Agricultural Exports in Costa Rica
LAND
2017; 6 (1)
View details for DOI 10.3390/land6010001
View details for Web of Science ID 000398730000001
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The Challenges of Applying Planetary Boundaries as a Basis for Strategic Decision-Making in Companies with Global Supply Chains
SUSTAINABILITY
2017; 9 (2)
View details for DOI 10.3390/su9020279
View details for Web of Science ID 000395590500121
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Corporate investments in supply chain sustainability: Selecting instruments in the agri-food industry
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
2017; 142: 2480-2492
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.11.026
View details for Web of Science ID 000391516300009
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Place attachment as a factor of mountain farming permanence: A survey in the French Southern Alps
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
2016; 130: 308-315
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.08.004
View details for Web of Science ID 000383944800029
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A plantation-dominated forest transition in Chile
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2016; 75: 71-82
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.07.014
View details for Web of Science ID 000384873900007
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The potential to restore native woody plant richness and composition in a reforesting landscape: a modeling approach in the Ecuadorian Andes
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2016; 31 (7): 1581-1599
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10980-016-0340-7
View details for Web of Science ID 000382906500012
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Land-use policies and corporate investments in agriculture in the Gran Chaco and Chiquitano
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2016; 113 (15): 4021-4026
Abstract
Growing demand for agricultural commodities is causing the expansion of agricultural frontiers onto native vegetation worldwide. Agribusiness companies linking these frontiers to distant spaces of consumption through global commodity chains increasingly make zero-deforestation pledges. However, production and land conversion are often carried out by less-visible local and regional actors that are mobile and responsive to new agricultural expansion opportunities and legal constraints on land use. With more stringent deforestation regulations in some countries, we ask whether their movements are determined partly by differences in land-use policies, resulting in "deforestation havens." We analyze the determinants of investment decisions by agricultural companies in the Gran Chaco and Chiquitano, a region that has become the new deforestation "hot spot" in South America. We test whether companies seek out less-regulated forest areas for new agricultural investments. Based on interviews with 82 companies totaling 2.5 Mha of properties, we show that, in addition to proximity to current investments and the availability of cheap forestland, lower deforestation regulations attract investments by companies that tend to clear more forest, mostly cattle ranching operations, and that lower enforcement attracts all companies. Avoiding deforestation leakage requires harmonizing deforestation regulations across regions and commodities and promoting sustainable intensification in cattle ranching.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1602646113
View details for Web of Science ID 000373762400044
View details for PubMedID 27035995
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC4839429
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The "mountain effect" in the abandonment of grasslands: Insights from the French Southern Alps
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
2016; 221: 115-124
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.agee.2016.01.032
View details for Web of Science ID 000373649100013
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International trade, and land use intensification and spatial reorganization explain Costa Rica's forest transition (vol 11, 035005, 2016)
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2016; 11 (4)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/049502
View details for Web of Science ID 000375746800040
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Impacts of nonstate, market-driven governance on Chilean forests
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2016; 113 (11): 2910-2915
Abstract
Global markets for agricultural products, timber, and minerals are critically important drivers of deforestation. The supply chains driving land use change may also provide opportunities to halt deforestation. Market campaigns, moratoria, and certification schemes have been promoted as powerful tools to achieve conservation goals. Despite their promise, there have been few opportunities to rigorously quantify the ability of these nonstate, market-driven (NSMD) governance regimes to deliver conservation outcomes. This study analyzes the impacts of three NSMD governance systems that sought to end the conversion of natural forests to plantations in Chile at the start of the 21st century. Using a multilevel, panel dataset of land use changes in Chile, we identify the impact of participation within each of the governance regimes by implementing a series of matched difference-in-differences analyses. Taking advantage of the mosaic of different NSMD regimes adopted in Chile, we explore the relative effectiveness of different policies. NSMD governance regimes reduced deforestation on participating properties by 2-23%. The NSMD governance regimes we studied included collaborative and confrontational strategies between environmental and industry stakeholders. We find that the more collaborative governance systems studied achieved better environmental performance than more confrontational approaches. Whereas many government conservation programs have targeted regions with little likelihood of conversion, we demonstrate that NSMD governance has the potential to alter behavior on high-deforestation properties.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1600394113
View details for Web of Science ID 000372014200047
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC4801259
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International trade, and land use intensification and spatial reorganization explain Costa Rica's forest transition
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2016; 11 (3)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035005
View details for Web of Science ID 000373401400033
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Socio-environmental sustainability of indigenous lands: simulating coupled human-natural systems in the Amazon
FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT
2016; 14 (2): 77-83
View details for DOI 10.1002/fee.1203
View details for Web of Science ID 000371520300016
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Forest cover changes in Bhutan: Revisiting the forest transition
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2016; 67: 49-66
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.11.019
View details for Web of Science ID 000370768500005
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Forest protection and economic development by offshoring wood extraction: Bhutan's clean development path
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
2016; 16 (2): 401-415
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10113-014-0749-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000369005400011
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"I know, therefore I adapt?" Complexities of individual adaptation to climate-induced forest dieback in Alaska
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2016; 21 (2)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-08464-210240
View details for Web of Science ID 000380049100037
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Reply to Levine-Schnur: Decisions to deforest illegally are influenced by fines and their perceived enforcement probability.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2016; 113 (25): E3469
View details for PubMedID 27303028
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Conservation in a social-ecological system experiencing climate-induced tree mortality
BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
2015; 192: 276-285
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.biocon.2015.09.018
View details for Web of Science ID 000366540600031
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Ecosystem service information to benefit sustainability standards for commodity supply chains.
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
2015; 1355 (1): 77-97
Abstract
The growing base of information about ecosystem services generated by ecologists, economists, and other scientists could improve the implementation, monitoring, and evaluation of commodity-sourcing standards being adopted by corporations to mitigate risk in their supply chains and achieve sustainability goals. This review examines various ways that information about ecosystem services could facilitate compliance with and auditing of commodity-sourcing standards. We also identify gaps in the current state of knowledge on the ecological effectiveness of sustainability standards and demonstrate how ecosystem-service information could complement existing monitoring efforts to build credible evidence. This paper is a call to the ecosystem-service scientists to engage in this decision context and tailor the information they are generating to the needs of the standards community, which we argue would offer greater efficiency of standards implementation for producers and enhanced effectiveness for standard scheme owners and corporations, and should thus lead to more sustainable outcomes for people and nature.
View details for DOI 10.1111/nyas.12961
View details for PubMedID 26555859
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Disease Risk & Landscape Attributes of Tick-Borne Borrelia Pathogens in the San Francisco Bay Area, California
PLOS ONE
2015; 10 (8)
Abstract
Habitat heterogeneity influences pathogen ecology by affecting vector abundance and the reservoir host communities. We investigated spatial patterns of disease risk for two human pathogens in the Borrelia genus-B. burgdorferi and B. miyamotoi-that are transmitted by the western black-legged tick, Ixodes pacificus. We collected ticks (349 nymphs, 273 adults) at 20 sites in the San Francisco Bay Area, California, USA. Tick abundance, pathogen prevalence and density of infected nymphs varied widely across sites and habitat type, though nymphal western black-legged ticks were more frequently found, and were more abundant in coast live oak forest and desert/semi-desert scrub (dominated by California sagebrush) habitats. We observed Borrelia infections in ticks at all sites where we able to collect >10 ticks. The recently recognized human pathogen, B. miyamotoi, was observed at a higher prevalence (13/349 nymphs = 3.7%, 95% CI = 2.0-6.3; 5/273 adults = 1.8%, 95% CI = 0.6-4.2) than recent studies from nearby locations (Alameda County, east of the San Francisco Bay), demonstrating that tick-borne disease risk and ecology can vary substantially at small geographic scales, with consequences for public health and disease diagnosis.
View details for DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0134812
View details for Web of Science ID 000360018600029
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC4545583
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Effects of Land Use on Plague (Yersinia pestis) Activity in Rodents in Tanzania
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE
2015; 92 (4): 776-783
Abstract
Understanding the effects of land-use change on zoonotic disease risk is a pressing global health concern. Here, we compare prevalence of Yersinia pestis, the etiologic agent of plague, in rodents across two land-use types-agricultural and conserved-in northern Tanzania. Estimated abundance of seropositive rodents nearly doubled in agricultural sites compared with conserved sites. This relationship between land-use type and abundance of seropositive rodents is likely mediated by changes in rodent and flea community composition, particularly via an increase in the abundance of the commensal species, Mastomys natalensis, in agricultural habitats. There was mixed support for rodent species diversity negatively impacting Y. pestis seroprevalence. Together, these results suggest that land-use change could affect the risk of local transmission of plague, and raise critical questions about transmission dynamics at the interface of conserved and agricultural habitats. These findings emphasize the importance of understanding disease ecology in the context of rapidly proceeding landscape change.
View details for DOI 10.4269/ajtmh.14-0504
View details for Web of Science ID 000352828200018
View details for PubMedID 25711606
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC4385772
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An agenda for assessing and improving conservation impacts of sustainability standards in tropical agriculture
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY
2015; 29 (2): 309-320
Abstract
Sustainability standards and certification serve to differentiate and provide market recognition to goods produced in accordance with social and environmental good practices, typically including practices to protect biodiversity. Such standards have seen rapid growth, including in tropical agricultural commodities such as cocoa, coffee, palm oil, soybeans, and tea. Given the role of sustainability standards in influencing land use in hotspots of biodiversity, deforestation, and agricultural intensification, much could be gained from efforts to evaluate and increase the conservation payoff of these schemes. To this end, we devised a systematic approach for monitoring and evaluating the conservation impacts of agricultural sustainability standards and for using the resulting evidence to improve the effectiveness of such standards over time. The approach is oriented around a set of hypotheses and corresponding research questions about how sustainability standards are predicted to deliver conservation benefits. These questions are addressed through data from multiple sources, including basic common information from certification audits; field monitoring of environmental outcomes at a sample of certified sites; and rigorous impact assessment research based on experimental or quasi-experimental methods. Integration of these sources can generate time-series data that are comparable across sites and regions and provide detailed portraits of the effects of sustainability standards. To implement this approach, we propose new collaborations between the conservation research community and the sustainability standards community to develop common indicators and monitoring protocols, foster data sharing and synthesis, and link research and practice more effectively. As the role of sustainability standards in tropical land-use governance continues to evolve, robust evidence on the factors contributing to effectiveness can help to ensure that such standards are designed and implemented to maximize benefits for biodiversity conservation.
View details for DOI 10.1111/cobi.12411
View details for Web of Science ID 000351353400002
View details for PubMedID 25363833
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Eco-certification and coffee cultivation enhance tree cover and forest connectivity in the Colombian coffee landscapes
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
2015; 15 (1): 25-33
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10113-014-0607-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000347286000003
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Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2015; 20 (3)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-07681-200306
View details for Web of Science ID 000362913100015
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Disease Risk & Landscape Attributes of Tick-Borne Borrelia Pathogens in the San Francisco Bay Area, California.
PloS one
2015; 10 (8)
Abstract
Habitat heterogeneity influences pathogen ecology by affecting vector abundance and the reservoir host communities. We investigated spatial patterns of disease risk for two human pathogens in the Borrelia genus-B. burgdorferi and B. miyamotoi-that are transmitted by the western black-legged tick, Ixodes pacificus. We collected ticks (349 nymphs, 273 adults) at 20 sites in the San Francisco Bay Area, California, USA. Tick abundance, pathogen prevalence and density of infected nymphs varied widely across sites and habitat type, though nymphal western black-legged ticks were more frequently found, and were more abundant in coast live oak forest and desert/semi-desert scrub (dominated by California sagebrush) habitats. We observed Borrelia infections in ticks at all sites where we able to collect >10 ticks. The recently recognized human pathogen, B. miyamotoi, was observed at a higher prevalence (13/349 nymphs = 3.7%, 95% CI = 2.0-6.3; 5/273 adults = 1.8%, 95% CI = 0.6-4.2) than recent studies from nearby locations (Alameda County, east of the San Francisco Bay), demonstrating that tick-borne disease risk and ecology can vary substantially at small geographic scales, with consequences for public health and disease diagnosis.
View details for DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0134812
View details for PubMedID 26288371
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC4545583
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Impacts of forest cover change on ecosystem services in high Andean mountains
ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
2015; 48: 63-75
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.07.043
View details for Web of Science ID 000347495100009
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The effectiveness of marked-based instruments to foster the conservation of extensive land use: The case of Geographical Indications in the French Alps
LAND USE POLICY
2015; 42: 706-717
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.10.009
View details for Web of Science ID 000347018700068
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Production forests as a conservation tool: Effectiveness of Cameroon's land use zoning policy
LAND USE POLICY
2015; 42: 151-164
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.07.012
View details for Web of Science ID 000347018700016
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Global assessment of urban and peri-urban agriculture: irrigated and rainfed croplands
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2014; 9 (11)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114002
View details for Web of Science ID 000346573900008
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Effectiveness and synergies of policy instruments for land use governance in tropical regions
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2014; 28: 129-140
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.007
View details for Web of Science ID 000343839100012
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Implementing REDD plus (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation): evidence on governance, evaluation and impacts from the REDD-ALERT project
MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
2014; 19 (6): 907-925
View details for DOI 10.1007/s11027-014-9578-z
View details for Web of Science ID 000339378500018
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Agent-based modeling of hunting and subsistence agriculture on indigenous lands: Understanding interactions between social and ecological systems
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
2014; 58: 109-127
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.03.008
View details for Web of Science ID 000338825800009
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COMMENTARY: Climate engineering reconsidered
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
2014; 4 (7): 527-529
View details for Web of Science ID 000338837400005
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Multiple pathways of commodity crop expansion in tropical forest landscapes
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2014; 9 (7)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/9/7/074012
View details for Web of Science ID 000341873200013
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Beyond local climate: rainfall variability as a determinant of household nonfarm activities in contemporary rural Burkina Faso
CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT
2014; 6 (2): 144-165
View details for DOI 10.1080/17565529.2013.867246
View details for Web of Science ID 000335088700006
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Beyond local climate: rainfall variability as a determinant of household nonfarm activities in contemporary rural Burkina Faso
Climate and Development
2014: 1-22
View details for DOI 10.1080/17565529.2013.867246
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Significance of Telecoupling for Exploration of Land-Use Change
14th Ernst Strngmann Forum
MIT PRESS. 2014: 141–161
View details for Web of Science ID 000348849200008
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Trends in Global Land-Use Competition
14th Ernst Strngmann Forum
MIT PRESS. 2014: 11–22
View details for Web of Science ID 000348849200002
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Scenarios on future land changes in the West African Sahel
GEOGRAFISK TIDSSKRIFT-DANISH JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHY
2014; 114 (1): 76-83
View details for DOI 10.1080/00167223.2014.878229
View details for Web of Science ID 000332185100007
- Global agriculture and land use changes in the 21st century: Achieving a balance between food security, urban diets and nature conservation The Evolving Sphere of Food Security (in press) edited by Naylor, R. Oxford University Press. 2014
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Estimating the world's potentially available cropland using a bottom-up approach
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2013; 23 (5): 892-901
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.05.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000328179400008
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Globalization's unexpected impact on soybean production in South America: linkages between preferences for non-genetically modified crops, eco-certifications, and land use
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2013; 8 (4)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044055
View details for Web of Science ID 000329604900062
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Globalization of land use: distant drivers of land change and geographic displacement of land use
CURRENT OPINION IN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
2013; 5 (5): 438-444
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.04.003
View details for Web of Science ID 000325843700002
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The new economic geography of land use change: Supply chain configurations and land use in the Brazilian Amazon
LAND USE POLICY
2013; 34: 265-275
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2013.03.011
View details for Web of Science ID 000320971800027
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Niche Commodities and Rural Poverty Alleviation: Contextualizing the Contribution of Argan Oil to Rural Livelihoods in Morocco
ANNALS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS
2013; 103 (3): 589-607
View details for DOI 10.1080/00045608.2012.720234
View details for Web of Science ID 000317837800009
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Land institutions and supply chain configurations as determinants of soybean planted area and yields in Brazil
LAND USE POLICY
2013; 31: 385-396
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.08.002
View details for Web of Science ID 000313318000039
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Linking Globalization to Local Land Uses: How Eco-Consumers and Gourmands are Changing the Colombian Coffee Landscapes
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
2013; 41: 286-301
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.05.018
View details for Web of Science ID 000314016800020
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Responding to Globalization: Impacts of Certification on Colombian Small-Scale Coffee Growers
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2013; 18 (3)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-05595-180321
View details for Web of Science ID 000325521300016
- Global land use competition Rethinking Global Land Use in an Urban Era edited by Seto, K., Reenberg, A. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. 2013
- Niche commodities and rural poverty alleviation: Contextualizing the contribution of argan oil to rural livelihoods in Morocco Annals of Association of American Geographers 2013; 103: 589-607
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Framing Sustainability in a Telecoupled World
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2013; 18 (2)
View details for DOI 10.5751/ES-05873-180226
View details for Web of Science ID 000321257100044
- Responding to globalization: the case of coffee certification in Colombia Ecology and Society 2013; 18 (3)
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Global land availability: Malthus versus Ricardo
GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY-AGRICULTURE POLICY ECONOMICS AND ENVIRONMENT
2012; 1 (2): 83-87
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gfs.2012.11.002
View details for Web of Science ID 000209593800002
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Scenarios of transmission risk of foot-and-mouth with climatic, social and landscape changes in southern Africa
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2012; 35 (1-2): 32-42
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2012.05.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000313380200004
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The nature and causes of the global water crisis: Syndromes from a meta-analysis of coupled human-water studies
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
2012; 48
View details for DOI 10.1029/2011WR011087
View details for Web of Science ID 000309608800001
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Trade-offs between tree cover, carbon storage and floristic biodiversity in reforesting landscapes
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2012; 27 (8): 1135-1147
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10980-012-9755-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000308329200005
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Evaluation and parameterization of ATCOR3 topographic correction method for forest cover mapping in mountain areas
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
2012; 18: 436-450
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jag.2012.03.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000306198900041
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Planetary Opportunities: A Social Contract for Global Change Science to Contribute to a Sustainable Future
BIOSCIENCE
2012; 62 (6): 603-606
View details for DOI 10.1525/bio.2012.62.6.11
View details for Web of Science ID 000305262500011
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Monitoring degradation in arid and semi-arid forests and woodlands: The case of the argan woodlands (Morocco)
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2012; 32 (2): 777-786
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.08.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000298362400054
- Global land availability: Malthus versus Ricardo Global Food Security 2012; 1: 83-87
- An Ecology of Happiness (originally published as Une Ecologie de Bonheur) University of Chicago Press, Chicago. 2012
- Malnutrition and conflict in Eastern Africa: Impacts of resource variability on human security Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict: Challenges for Societal Stability edited by Scheffran, J., Brzoska, M., Brauch, H. G., Link, P. M., Schilling, J. Springer. 2012: 559–572
- Monitoring degradation in arid and semi-arid forests and woodlands: the case of the argan woodlands (Morocco) Applied Geography 2012; 32: 777-786
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Remotely sensed surface water extent as an indicator of short-term changes in ecohydrological processes in sub-Saharan Western Africa
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
2011; 115 (12): 3436-3445
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.rse.2011.08.007
View details for Web of Science ID 000298311300039
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Tipping Toward Sustainability: Emerging Pathways of Transformation
AMBIO
2011; 40 (7): 762-780
Abstract
This article explores the links between agency, institutions, and innovation in navigating shifts and large-scale transformations toward global sustainability. Our central question is whether social and technical innovations can reverse the trends that are challenging critical thresholds and creating tipping points in the earth system, and if not, what conditions are necessary to escape the current lock-in. Large-scale transformations in information technology, nano- and biotechnology, and new energy systems have the potential to significantly improve our lives; but if, in framing them, our globalized society fails to consider the capacity of the biosphere, there is a risk that unsustainable development pathways may be reinforced. Current institutional arrangements, including the lack of incentives for the private sector to innovate for sustainability, and the lags inherent in the path dependent nature of innovation, contribute to lock-in, as does our incapacity to easily grasp the interactions implicit in complex problems, referred to here as the ingenuity gap. Nonetheless, promising social and technical innovations with potential to change unsustainable trajectories need to be nurtured and connected to broad institutional resources and responses. In parallel, institutional entrepreneurs can work to reduce the resilience of dominant institutional systems and position viable shadow alternatives and niche regimes.
View details for DOI 10.1007/s13280-011-0186-9
View details for Web of Science ID 000298500100004
View details for PubMedID 22338714
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC3357751
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Rapid land use change after socio-economic disturbances: the collapse of the Soviet Union versus Chernobyl
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2011; 6 (4)
View details for DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045201
View details for Web of Science ID 000298674700039
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The landscape epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease in South Africa: A spatially explicit multi-agent simulation
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
2011; 222 (13): 2059-2072
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.03.026
View details for Web of Science ID 000292581400004
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Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2011; 108 (9): 3465-3472
Abstract
A central challenge for sustainability is how to preserve forest ecosystems and the services that they provide us while enhancing food production. This challenge for developing countries confronts the force of economic globalization, which seeks cropland that is shrinking in availability and triggers deforestation. Four mechanisms-the displacement, rebound, cascade, and remittance effects-that are amplified by economic globalization accelerate land conversion. A few developing countries have managed a land use transition over the recent decades that simultaneously increased their forest cover and agricultural production. These countries have relied on various mixes of agricultural intensification, land use zoning, forest protection, increased reliance on imported food and wood products, the creation of off-farm jobs, foreign capital investments, and remittances. Sound policies and innovations can therefore reconcile forest preservation with food production. Globalization can be harnessed to increase land use efficiency rather than leading to uncontrolled land use expansion. To do so, land systems should be understood and modeled as open systems with large flows of goods, people, and capital that connect local land use with global-scale factors.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1100480108
View details for Web of Science ID 000287844400010
View details for PubMedID 21321211
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC3048112
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Malnutrition and conflict in East Africa: the impacts of resource variability on human security
CLIMATIC CHANGE
2011; 105 (1-2): 207-222
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10584-010-9884-8
View details for Web of Science ID 000287508700010
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Adaptation strategies and climate vulnerability in the Sudano-Sahelian region of West Africa
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS
2011; 12 (1): 104-108
View details for DOI 10.1002/asl.314
View details for Web of Science ID 000287816700017
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Between Land and Sea: Livelihoods and Environmental Changes in Mangrove Ecosystems of Senegal
ANNALS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS
2011; 101 (6): 1259-1284
View details for DOI 10.1080/00045608.2011.579534
View details for Web of Science ID 000299258500005
- Protéger l’environnement pour protéger son bonheur Psychologie positive: Le Bonheur dans tous ses états Editions Jouvence, Paris. 2011: 102–115
- Adaptation strategies and climate vulnerability in the Sudano-Sahelian region of West Africa Atmospheric Science Letters 2011; 12: 104-108
- Climate variability, malnutrition, and armed conflicts in the Horn of Africa Climatic change 2011; 105 (2): 207-222
- Tipping towards sustainability: Emerging pathways of transformation Ambio 2011; 40: 762-780
- Global interannual variability in terrestrial ecosystems using MODIS-derived vegetation indices, social, and biophysical factors International Journal of Remote Sensing 2011; 32: 5393-5411
- Between land and sea: livelihoods and environmental changes in mangrove ecosystems of Senegal, Annals of the Association of American Geographers 2011; 101: 1259-1284
- Remotely sensed surface water extent as an indicator of short-term changes in ecohydrological processes in sub-Saharan Western Africa Remote Sensing of Environment 2011; 115: 3436-3445
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Global interannual variability in terrestrial ecosystems: sources and spatial distribution using MODIS-derived vegetation indices, social and biophysical factors
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2011; 32 (19): 5393-5411
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431161.2010.501042
View details for Web of Science ID 000298369400006
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Global Forest Transition: Prospects for an End to Deforestation
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES, VOL 36
2011; 36: 343-371
View details for DOI 10.1146/annurev-environ-090710-143732
View details for Web of Science ID 000299610900014
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Forest transitions, trade, and the global displacement of land use
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2010; 107 (49): 20917-20922
Abstract
Reducing tropical deforestation is an international priority, given its impacts on carbon emissions and biodiversity. We examined whether recent forest transitions--a shift from net deforestation to net reforestation--involved a geographic displacement of forest clearing across countries through trade in agricultural and forest products. In most of the seven developing countries that recently experienced a forest transition, displacement of land use abroad accompanied local reforestation. Additional global land-use change embodied in their net wood trade offset 74% of their total reforested area. Because the reforesting countries continued to export more agricultural goods than they imported, this net displacement offset 22% of their total reforested area when both agriculture and forestry sectors are included. However, this net displacement increased to 52% during the last 5 y. These countries thus have contributed to a net global reforestation and/or decrease in the pressure on forests, but this global environmental benefit has been shrinking during recent years. The net decrease in the pressure on forests does not account for differences in their ecological quality. Assessments of the impacts of international policies aimed at reducing global deforestation should integrate international trade in agricultural and forest commodities.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.1014773107
View details for Web of Science ID 000285050800016
View details for PubMedID 21078977
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC3000287
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Pathogenic landscapes: Interactions between land, people, disease vectors, and their animal hosts
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTH GEOGRAPHICS
2010; 9
Abstract
Landscape attributes influence spatial variations in disease risk or incidence. We present a review of the key findings from eight case studies that we conducted in Europe and West Africa on the impact of land changes on emerging or re-emerging vector-borne diseases and/or zoonoses. The case studies concern West Nile virus transmission in Senegal, tick-borne encephalitis incidence in Latvia, sandfly abundance in the French Pyrenees, Rift Valley Fever in the Ferlo (Senegal), West Nile Fever and the risk of malaria re-emergence in the Camargue, and rodent-borne Puumala hantavirus and Lyme borreliosis in Belgium.We identified general principles governing landscape epidemiology in these diverse disease systems and geographic regions. We formulated ten propositions that are related to landscape attributes, spatial patterns and habitat connectivity, pathways of pathogen transmission between vectors and hosts, scale issues, land use and ownership, and human behaviour associated with transmission cycles.A static view of the "pathogenecity" of landscapes overlays maps of the spatial distribution of vectors and their habitats, animal hosts carrying specific pathogens and their habitat, and susceptible human hosts and their land use. A more dynamic view emphasizing the spatial and temporal interactions between these agents at multiple scales is more appropriate. We also highlight the complementarity of the modelling approaches used in our case studies. Integrated analyses at the landscape scale allows a better understanding of interactions between changes in ecosystems and climate, land use and human behaviour, and the ecology of vectors and animal hosts of infectious agents.
View details for DOI 10.1186/1476-072X-9-54
View details for Web of Science ID 000284094300001
View details for PubMedID 20979609
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC2984574
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Landscape Predictors of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in Latvia: Land Cover, Land Use, and Land Ownership
VECTOR-BORNE AND ZOONOTIC DISEASES
2010; 10 (5): 497-506
Abstract
Although the presence of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) virus circulating in tick populations depends on large-scale patterns of climate, and the local density of infected ticks depends on the abundance of mammalian hosts, the risk of human infection depends on the access and use by human populations of tick-infested habitats, particularly forests, at the landscape level. We investigated the incidence of reported TBE cases in rural parishes (i.e., municipalities) in Latvia. The following major characteristics of parishes were considered: whether their environment is suitable for tick and tick-host populations (depending on land cover); whether the local human population is likely to enter the forest on a regular base (depending on land use); and whether the spatial distributions of these two aspects are likely to intersect, through access rules (as a function of land ownership). The results indicated that all three aspects are important in explaining and predicting the spatial distribution of TBE cases in the rural areas of Latvia. The concept of landscape is here given new depth by consideration of its physical structure, its use by human populations, and its accessibility as modulated by ownership.
View details for DOI 10.1089/vbz.2009.0116
View details for Web of Science ID 000278980100011
View details for PubMedID 19877818
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Solutions to environmental threats.
Scientific American
2010; 302 (4): 58-60
View details for PubMedID 20349575
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Land use transitions: Socio-ecological feedback versus socio-economic change
LAND USE POLICY
2010; 27 (2): 108-118
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.003
View details for Web of Science ID 000273110500003
- Landscape predictors of tick-borne encephalitis in Latvia: land cover, land use and land ownership Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases 2010; 10: 497-506
- De l’Holocène à l’Anthropocène Plaidoyer pour la culture scientifique Universcience éditions et les Editions Le Pommier. 2010: 92–108
- Land use transitions: Ecological feedback versus exogenous socio-economic dynamics Land Use Policy 2010; 27: 108-118
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Agricultural intensification and changes in cultivated areas, 1970-2005
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2009; 106 (49): 20675-20680
Abstract
Does the intensification of agriculture reduce cultivated areas and, in so doing, spare some lands by concentrating production on other lands? Such sparing is important for many reasons, among them the enhanced abilities of released lands to sequester carbon and provide other environmental services. Difficulties measuring the extent of spared land make it impossible to investigate fully the hypothesized causal chain from agricultural intensification to declines in cultivated areas and then to increases in spared land. We analyze the historical circumstances in which rising yields have been accompanied by declines in cultivated areas, thereby leading to land-sparing. We use national-level United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization data on trends in cropland from 1970-2005, with particular emphasis on the 1990-2005 period, for 10 major crop types. Cropland has increased more slowly than population during this period, but paired increases in yields and declines in cropland occurred infrequently, both globally and nationally. Agricultural intensification was not generally accompanied by decline or stasis in cropland area at a national scale during this time period, except in countries with grain imports and conservation set-aside programs. Future projections of cropland abandonment and ensuing environmental services cannot be assumed without explicit policy intervention.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.0812540106
View details for Web of Science ID 000272553000025
View details for PubMedID 19955435
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC2791618
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A safe operating space for humanity
NATURE
2009; 461 (7263): 472-475
View details for DOI 10.1038/461472a
View details for Web of Science ID 000270082900020
View details for PubMedID 19779433
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Forest transition in Vietnam and displacement of deforestation abroad
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2009; 106 (38): 16139-16144
Abstract
In some countries across the globe, tropical forest cover is increasing. The national-scale reforestation of Vietnam since 1992 is assumed to contribute to this recovery. It is achieved, however, by the displacement of forest extraction to other countries on the order of 49 (34-70) M m(3), or approximately 39% of the regrowth of Vietnam's forests from 1987 to 2006. Approximately half of wood imports to Vietnam during this period were illegal. Leakage due to policies restricting forest exploitation and displacement due to growing domestic consumption and exports contributed respectively to an estimated 58% and 42% of total displacement. Exports of wood products from Vietnam also grew rapidly, amounting to 84% of the displacement, which is a remarkable feature of the forest transition in Vietnam. Attribution of the displacement and corresponding forest extraction to Vietnam, the source countries or the final consumers is thus debatable. Sixty-one percent of the regrowth in Vietnam was, thus, not associated with displacement abroad. Policies allocating credits to countries for reducing deforestation and forest degradation should monitor illegal timber trade and take into account the policy-induced leakage of wood extraction to other countries.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.0904942106
View details for Web of Science ID 000270071600028
View details for PubMedID 19805270
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC2752536
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The spatial dynamics of deforestation and agent use in the Amazon
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2009; 29 (2): 171-181
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2008.09.003
View details for Web of Science ID 000264661800003
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Risk of Malaria Reemergence in Southern France: Testing Scenarios with a Multiagent Simulation Model
ECOHEALTH
2009; 6 (1): 135-147
Abstract
The Camargue, a region in southern France, is considered a potential site for malaria reemergence. All the suitable factors of the disease transmission system are present -- competent mosquito vectors, habitats for their breeding, and susceptible people -- except for the parasite. The objective of this study was to test potential drivers of malaria reemergence in this system after possible changes in biological attributes of vectors, agricultural practices, land use, tourism activities, and climate. Scenarios of plausible futures were formulated and then simulated using a spatially explicit and dynamic multiagent simulation: the MALCAM model. Scenarios were developed by varying the value of model inputs. Model outputs were compared based on the contact rate between people and potential malaria vectors, and the number of new infections in case of reintroduction of the parasite in the region. Model simulations showed that the risk of malaria reemergence is low in the Camargue. If the disease would reemerge, it would be the result of a combination of unfavorable conditions: introduction of a large population of infectious people or mosquitoes, combined with high levels of people-vector contacts resulting from significant changes in land use, tourism activities, agricultural policies, biological evolution of mosquitoes, and climate changes. The representation in the MALCAM model of interactions and feedbacks between different agents, and between agents and their environment, led in some cases to counterintuitive results. Results from scenario analyses can help local public health authorities in policy formulation.
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10393-009-0236-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000270837100017
View details for PubMedID 19449076
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A multi-agent simulation to assess the risk of malaria re-emergence in southern France
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
2009; 220 (2): 160-174
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.09.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000262122800007
- Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity Ecology and Society 2009; 14
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Livestock Subsidies and Rangeland Degradation in Central Crete
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2009; 14 (2)
View details for Web of Science ID 000278707200014
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Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2009; 14 (2)
View details for Web of Science ID 000278707200010
- Agricultural intensification and changes in cultivated areas, 1970-2005 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2009; 106: 20675-20680
- What are the Final Land Limits? Biofuels: Environmental Consequences and Interactions with Changing Land Use edited by Howarth, R. W., Bringezu, S. 2009
- Forest transition in Vietnam and displacement of wood extraction abroad Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2009; 106
- Forest transition in Vietnam and Bhutan: causes and environmental impacts Reforesting landscapes: Linking patterns and processes edited by Nagendra, H., Southworth, J. Springer. 2009
- The spatial dynamics of deforestation and agent use in the Amazon Applied Geography 2009; 29: 171-181
- A multi-agent simulation to assess the risk of malalaria re-emergence in southern France Ecological Modelling 2009; 220: 160-174
- Scenarios of the risk of malaria re-emergence in southern France Ecohealth 2009; 6: 135-147
- A safe operating space for humanity Nature, 2009; 461: 472-475
- Livestock Subsidies and Rangeland Degradation in Central Crete Ecology and Society 2009; 14: 41
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Land degradation and economic conditions of agricultural households in a marginal region of northern Greece
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
2008; 64 (3-4): 198-209
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.05.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000262428500011
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Variability in energy influences avian distribution patterns across the USA
ECOSYSTEMS
2008; 11 (6): 854-867
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10021-008-9165-9
View details for Web of Science ID 000259564600003
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Forest transition in Vietnam and its environmental impacts
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
2008; 14 (6): 1319-1336
View details for DOI 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01575.x
View details for Web of Science ID 000255707200010
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The causes of the reforestation in Vietnam
LAND USE POLICY
2008; 25 (2): 182-197
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.landusepol.2007.06.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000253622700004
- Land degradation and economic conditions of agricultural households in a marginal region of northern Greece Global and Planetary Change 2008; 64: 198-209
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Causes of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon: a qualitative comparative analysis
JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
2008; 2 (4): 257-282
View details for DOI 10.1080/17474230701785929
View details for Web of Science ID 000214879100003
- Categorization of land-cover change processes based on phenological indicators extracted from time series of vegetation index data International Journal of Remote Sensing 2008; 28: 2469-2483
- Forest transition in Vietnam and its environmental impacts Global Change Biology 2008; 14: 1-18
- Causes of the reforestation in Vietnam Land Use Policy 2008; 25: 182-197
- Variability in energy influences avian distribution patterns across the USA Ecosystems 2008; 11: 854-867
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The emergence of land change science for global environmental change and sustainability
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2007; 104 (52): 20666-20671
Abstract
Land change science has emerged as a fundamental component of global environmental change and sustainability research. This interdisciplinary field seeks to understand the dynamics of land cover and land use as a coupled human-environment system to address theory, concepts, models, and applications relevant to environmental and societal problems, including the intersection of the two. The major components and advances in land change are addressed: observation and monitoring; understanding the coupled system-causes, impacts, and consequences; modeling; and synthesis issues. The six articles of the special feature are introduced and situated within these components of study.
View details for DOI 10.1073/pnas.0704119104
View details for Web of Science ID 000252077400011
View details for PubMedID 18093934
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC2409212
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Environmental conditions and Puumala virus transmission in Belgium
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTH GEOGRAPHICS
2007; 6
Abstract
Non-vector-borne zoonoses such as Puumala hantavirus (PUUV) can be transmitted directly, by physical contact between infected and susceptible hosts, or indirectly, with the environment as an intermediate. The objective of this study is to better understand the causal link between environmental features and PUUV prevalence in bank vole population in Belgium, and hence with transmission risk to humans. Our hypothesis was that environmental conditions controlling the direct and indirect transmission paths differ, such that the risk of transmission to humans is not only determined by host abundance. We explored the relationship between, on one hand, environmental variables and, on the other hand, host abundance, PUUV prevalence in the host, and human cases of nephropathia epidemica (NE). Statistical analyses were carried out on 17 field sites situated in Belgian broadleaf forests.Linear regressions showed that landscape attributes, particularly landscape configuration, influence the abundance of hosts in broadleaf forests. Based on logistic regressions, we show that PUUV prevalence among bank voles is more linked to variables favouring the survival of the virus in the environment, and thus the indirect transmission: low winter temperatures are strongly linked to prevalence among bank voles, and high soil moisture is linked to the number of NE cases among humans. The transmission risk to humans therefore depends on the efficiency of the indirect transmission path. Human risk behaviours, such as the propensity for people to go in forest areas that best support the virus, also influence the number of human cases.The transmission risk to humans of non-vector-borne zoonoses such as PUUV depends on a combination of various environmental factors. To understand the complex causal pathways between the environment and disease risk, one should distinguish between environmental factors related to the abundance of hosts such as land-surface attributes, landscape configuration, and climate - i.e., host ecology, - and environmental factors related to PUUV prevalence, mainly winter temperatures and soil moisture - i.e., virus ecology. Beyond a threshold abundance of hosts, environmental factors favouring the indirect transmission path (soil and climate) can better predict the number of NE cases among humans than factors influencing the abundance of hosts.
View details for DOI 10.1186/1476-072X-6-55
View details for Web of Science ID 000258212100001
View details for PubMedID 18078526
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC2234401
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Global desertification: Building a science for dryland development
SCIENCE
2007; 316 (5826): 847-851
Abstract
In this millennium, global drylands face a myriad of problems that present tough research, management, and policy challenges. Recent advances in dryland development, however, together with the integrative approaches of global change and sustainability science, suggest that concerns about land degradation, poverty, safeguarding biodiversity, and protecting the culture of 2.5 billion people can be confronted with renewed optimism. We review recent lessons about the functioning of dryland ecosystems and the livelihood systems of their human residents and introduce a new synthetic framework, the Drylands Development Paradigm (DDP). The DDP, supported by a growing and well-documented set of tools for policy and management action, helps navigate the inherent complexity of desertification and dryland development, identifying and synthesizing those factors important to research, management, and policy communities.
View details for DOI 10.1126/science.1131634
View details for Web of Science ID 000246369800027
View details for PubMedID 17495163
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Determinants of the geographic distribution of Puumala virus and Lyme borreliosis infections in Belgium
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTH GEOGRAPHICS
2007; 6
Abstract
Vector-borne and zoonotic diseases generally display clear spatial patterns due to different space-dependent factors. Land cover and land use influence disease transmission by controlling both the spatial distribution of vectors or hosts, and the probability of contact with susceptible human populations. The objective of this study was to combine environmental and socio-economic factors to explain the spatial distribution of two emerging human diseases in Belgium, Puumala virus (PUUV) and Lyme borreliosis. Municipalities were taken as units of analysis.Negative binomial regressions including a correction for spatial endogeneity show that the spatial distribution of PUUV and Lyme borreliosis infections are associated with a combination of factors linked to the vector and host populations, to human behaviours, and to landscape attributes. Both diseases are associated with the presence of forests, which are the preferred habitat for vector or host populations. The PUUV infection risk is higher in remote forest areas, where the level of urbanisation is low, and among low-income populations. The Lyme borreliosis transmission risk is higher in mixed landscapes with forests and spatially dispersed houses, mostly in wealthy peri-urban areas. The spatial dependence resulting from a combination of endogenous and exogenous processes could be accounted for in the model on PUUV but not for Lyme borreliosis.A large part of the spatial variation in disease risk can be explained by environmental and socio-economic factors. The two diseases not only are most prevalent in different regions but also affect different groups of people. Combining these two criteria may increase the efficiency of information campaigns through appropriate targeting.
View details for DOI 10.1186/1476-072X-6-15
View details for Web of Science ID 000258121200001
View details for PubMedID 17474974
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC1867807
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A multilevel analysis of the impact of land use on interannual land-cover change in East Africa
ECOSYSTEMS
2007; 10 (3): 402-418
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10021-007-9026-y
View details for Web of Science ID 000248911400005
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Impact of land-use change on dengue and malaria in northern Thailand
ECOHEALTH
2007; 4 (1): 37-51
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10393-007-0085-5
View details for Web of Science ID 000246116500007
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Temporal heterogeneity in the study of African land use - Interdisciplinary collaboration between anthropology, human geography and remote sensing
HUMAN ECOLOGY
2007; 35 (1): 3-17
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10745-006-9085-2
View details for Web of Science ID 000244198000002
- Environmental conditions and Puumala hantavirus transmission risk in Belgium International Journal of Health Geographics 2007; 6
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Rural transformation and land use change in northern Thailand
JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
2007; 2 (1): 1-29
View details for DOI 10.1080/17474230601145943
View details for Web of Science ID 000214876800001
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Linking spatial patterns of deforestation to land use using satellite and field data
IEEE. 2007: 3357-3361
View details for DOI 10.1109/IGARSS.2007.4423564
View details for Web of Science ID 000256657303175
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Landscape and land cover factors influence the presence of Aedes and Anopheles larvae
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY
2007; 44 (1): 133-144
Abstract
The objective of this study was to test for associations between land cover data and the presence of mosquito larvae of the genera Aedes Meigen and Anopheles Meigen in northern Thailand at the landscape scale. These associations were compared with associations between larval habitat variables and the presence of mosquito larvae at a finer spatial scale. Collection data for the larvae of one Aedes species and three species-groups of Anopheles, all of which are involved in pathogen transmission, were used. A variety of northern Thai landscapes were included, such as upland villages, lowland villages and peri-urban areas. Logistic regression was used to evaluate associations. Generally, land cover and landscape variables explained the presence of larvae as well as did larval habitat variables. Results were best for species/species-groups with specific habitat requirements. Land cover variables act as proxies for the types of habitat available and their attributes. Good knowledge of the habitat requirements of the immature stages of mosquitoes is necessary for interpreting the effects of land cover.
View details for Web of Science ID 000243365400018
View details for PubMedID 17294931
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Categorization of land-cover change processes based on phenological indicators extracted from time series of vegetation index data
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2007; 28 (11): 2469-2483
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431160600921943
View details for Web of Science ID 000246903400006
- The Middle Path: Avoiding Environmental Catastrophe (translated) University of Chicago Press, Chicago. 2007
- The emergence of land change science for global environmental change and sustainability Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2007; 104: 20666-20671
- Landscape and land-cover factors influence the presence of Aedes and Anopheles larvae, Journal of Medical Entomology, 2007; 44,: 133-144
- Rural transformation and social differentiation in northern Thailand Journal of Land Use Science 2007; 2: 1-29
- Temporal Heterogeneity in the Study of African Land Use Human Ecology 2007; 35: 3-17
- Impact of land-use change on dengue and malaria in northern Thailand Ecohealth 2007; 4: 37-51
- Global Desertification: Building a Science for Dryland Development Science 2007; 316: 847-851
- Determinants of the geographic distribution of Puumala hantavirus and Lyme borreliosis infections in Belgium International Journal of Health Geographics 2007; 6
- A multilevel analysis of the impact of land use on interannual land-cover change in East Africa Ecosystems 2007; 10: 402-418
- Causes of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon : a Qualitative Comparative Analysis Journal of Land Use Science 2007; 2: 257-282
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A portfolio approach to analyzing complex human-environment interactions: Institutions and land change
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
2006; 11 (2)
View details for Web of Science ID 000243280800038
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Time series of remote sensing data for land change science
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING
2006; 44 (7): 1926-1928
View details for DOI 10.1109/TGRS.2006.872932
View details for Web of Science ID 000238864700023
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Multi-level analyses of spatial and temporal determinants for dengue infection.
International journal of health geographics
2006; 5: 5-?
Abstract
Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral infection that is now endemic in most tropical countries. In Thailand, dengue fever/dengue hemorrhagic fever is a leading cause of hospitalization and death among children. A longitudinal study among 1750 people in two rural and one urban sites in northern Thailand from 2001 to 2003 studied spatial and temporal determinants for recent dengue infection at three levels (time, individual and household).Determinants for dengue infection were measured by questionnaire, land-cover maps and GIS. IgM antibodies against dengue were detected by ELISA. Three-level multi-level analysis was used to study the risk determinants of recent dengue infection.Rates of recent dengue infection varied substantially in time from 4 to 30%, peaking in 2002. Determinants for recent dengue infection differed per site. Spatial clustering was observed, demonstrating variation in local infection patterns. Most of the variation in recent dengue infection was explained at the time-period level. Location of a person and the environment around the house (including irrigated fields and orchards) were important determinants for recent dengue infection.We showed the focal nature of asymptomatic dengue infections. The great variation of determinants for recent dengue infection in space and time should be taken into account when designing local dengue control programs.
View details for PubMedID 16420702
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC1373612
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Conditions for a sustainable land use: case study evidence
JOURNAL OF LAND USE SCIENCE
2006; 1 (2-4): 109-125
View details for DOI 10.1080/17474230601079050
View details for Web of Science ID 000214875900003
- Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: Local processes and global impacts edited by Lambin, E. F., et al Springer, Berlin. 2006
- Vulnerability of land systems to fire: interactions between humans, climate, the atmosphere and ecosystems Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 2006; 12: 33-53
- Approche systémique des causes de la déforestation en Amazonie brésilienne: syndromes, synergies et rétroactions L'Espace Géographique 2006; 3: 241-254
- Multi-level analyses of spatial and temporal determinants for dengue infection International Journal of Health Geographics 2006; 5
- Complex Causality in Human-Environment Interactions: Toward a Portfolio Approach to Understanding Institutions and Land Change Ecology and Society 2006; 11
- Time series of remote sensing data for land change science IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 2006; 44: 1926-1928
- Conditions for sustainable land use: case study evidence Journal of Land Use Science 2006; 1: 109-125
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A conceptual template for integrative human-environment research
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2005; 15 (4): 299-307
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.06.003
View details for Web of Science ID 000233623200003
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Conditions for sustainability of human-environment systems: Information, motivation, and capacity
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2005; 15 (3): 177-180
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.06.002
View details for Web of Science ID 000231585500001
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Land-cover change and vegetation dynamics across Africa
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
2005; 110 (D12)
View details for DOI 10.1029/2004JD005521
View details for Web of Science ID 000229989400003
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Forest transitions: towards a global understanding of land use change
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2005; 15 (1): 23-31
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.11.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000228902700004
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Impact of short-term rainfall fluctuation on interannual land cover change in sub-Saharan Africa
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
2005; 14 (2): 123-135
View details for Web of Science ID 000227134800003
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A synthesis of information on rapid land-cover change for the period 1981-2000
BIOSCIENCE
2005; 55 (2): 115-124
View details for Web of Science ID 000226969300006
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Spatial patterns of and risk factors for seropositivity for dengue infection
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE
2005; 72 (2): 201-208
Abstract
Spatial patterns of and risk factors for seropositivity of dengue infection were studied in three sites in northern Thailand. A survey was conducted in 2001 among 1,750 persons. Potential risk factors for dengue infection were measured by questionnaire and IgM antibodies against dengue were detected by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The role of landscape as a risk factor was studied using land cover maps and a geographic information system. Logistic regression identified risk factors for dengue seropositivity. Spatial patterns of seropositive cases were determined by cluster analyses. Six percent of the study population was seropositive. Risk factors for dengue seropositivity differed per site, demonstrating variation in local infection patterns. In the periurban site, seropositivity depended on human behavior and factors related to housing quality rather than environmental factors. In both rural sites, older persons had a higher risk of seropositivity and persons living in houses surrounded by natural and agricultural land covers had a lower risk of seropositivity.
View details for Web of Science ID 000227402200016
View details for PubMedID 15741558
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Dynamic causal patterns of desertification
BIOSCIENCE
2004; 54 (9): 817-829
View details for Web of Science ID 000223743000007
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Digital change detection methods in ecosystem monitoring: a review
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2004; 25 (9): 1565-1596
View details for DOI 10.1080/0143116031000101675
View details for Web of Science ID 000220401200002
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Descriptive analysis of the individual migratory pathways according to environmental typologies
POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT
2004; 25 (5): 397-422
View details for Web of Science ID 000223670400001
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Evaluation of remote sensing-based active fire datasets in Indonesia
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2004; 25 (2): 471-479
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431160310001618022
View details for Web of Science ID 000187629800013
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Interprovincial and interannual differences in the causes of land-use fires in Sumatra, Indonesia
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION
2003; 30 (4): 375-387
View details for DOI 10.1017/S0376892903000390
View details for Web of Science ID 000188812100008
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Remotely-sensed indicators of burning efficiency of savannah and forest fires
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2003; 24 (15): 3105-3118
View details for DOI 10.1080/0143116021000021224
View details for Web of Science ID 000184128100007
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Land use and vegetation fires in Jambi Province, Sumatra, Indonesia
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
2003; 179 (1-3): 277-292
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0378-1127(02)00547-9
View details for Web of Science ID 000183836300022
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Regional differences in tropical deforestation
ENVIRONMENT
2003; 45 (6): 22-?
View details for Web of Science ID 000183793000004
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Modelling inter-provincial migration in Burkina Faso, West Africa: the role of socio-demographic and environmental factors
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2003; 23 (2-3): 115-136
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.apgeog.2002.08.001
View details for Web of Science ID 000186518700002
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Impact of data integration technique on historical land-use/landcover change: Comparing historical maps with remote sensing data in the Belgian Ardennes. (vol 17, pg 117, 2002)
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2003; 18 (2): 219
View details for Web of Science ID 000209471000001
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Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES
2003; 28: 205-241
View details for DOI 10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.105459
View details for Web of Science ID 000220102700007
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Land-cover changes in Thrim Basin (1964-2000): application of post-classification change detection technique
SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING. 2003: 74-89
View details for DOI 10.1117/12.466756
View details for Web of Science ID 000184693700007
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The influence of land use change on climate in the Sahel
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
2002; 15 (24): 3615-3629
View details for DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3615:TIOLUC>2.0.CO;2
View details for Web of Science ID 000179814400006
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Long-term land-cover changes in the Belgian Ardennes (1775-1929): model-based reconstruction vs. historical maps
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
2002; 8 (7): 616-630
View details for Web of Science ID 000176055800002
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Proximate causes and underlying driving forces of tropical deforestation
BIOSCIENCE
2002; 52 (2): 143-150
View details for Web of Science ID 000173839600005
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Monitoring natural disasters and 'hot spots' of land cover change with SPOT VEGETATION data to assess regions at risks
21st Annual Symposium of the European-Association-of-Remote-Sensing-Laboratories
A A BALKEMA PUBLISHERS. 2002: 333-?
View details for Web of Science ID 000175558400047
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Fire impacts on vegetation in Central Africa: a remote-sensing-based statistical analysis
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
2002; 22 (1): 27-48
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0143-6228(01)00020-0
View details for Web of Science ID 000176719600002
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Impact of data integration technique on historical land-use/land-cover change: Comparing historical maps with remote sensing data in the Belgian Ardennes
LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
2002; 17 (2): 117-132
View details for Web of Science ID 000177049100002
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Carbon sinks and conserving biodiversity
SCIENCE
2001; 294 (5549): 2094-2095
View details for Web of Science ID 000172647700024
View details for PubMedID 11764790
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The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
2001; 11 (4): 261-269
View details for Web of Science ID 000172796700002
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Integration of multi-source remote sensing data for land cover change detection
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE
2001; 15 (8): 785-803
View details for DOI 10.1080/13658810110074483
View details for Web of Science ID 000172204600006
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Land cover changes around a major east African wildlife reserve: the Mara Ecosystem (Kenya)
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2001; 22 (17): 3397-3420
View details for Web of Science ID 000172029800012
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Quantifying processes of land-cover change by remote sensing: resettlement and rapid land-cover changes in south-eastern Zambia
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2001; 22 (17): 3435-3456
View details for Web of Science ID 000172029800014
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Long-term changes in Serengeti-Mara wildebeest and land cover: Pastoralism, population, or policies?
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
2001; 98 (22): 12544-12549
Abstract
Declines in habitat and wildlife in semiarid African savannas are widely reported and commonly attributed to agropastoral population growth, livestock impacts, and subsistence cultivation. However, extreme annual and shorter-term variability of rainfall, primary production, vegetation, and populations of grazers make directional trends and causal chains hard to establish in these ecosystems. Here two decades of changes in land cover and wildebeest in the Serengeti-Mara region of East Africa are analyzed in terms of potential drivers (rainfall, human and livestock population growth, socio-economic trends, land tenure, agricultural policies, and markets). The natural experiment research design controls for confounding variables, and our conceptual model and statistical approach integrate natural and social sciences data. The Kenyan part of the ecosystem shows rapid land-cover change and drastic decline for a wide range of wildlife species, but these changes are absent on the Tanzanian side. Temporal climate trends, human population density and growth rates, uptake of small-holder agriculture, and livestock population trends do not differ between the Kenyan and Tanzanian parts of the ecosystem and cannot account for observed changes. Differences in private versus state/communal land tenure, agricultural policy, and market conditions suggest, and spatial correlations confirm, that the major changes in land cover and dominant grazer species numbers are driven primarily by private landowners responding to market opportunities for mechanized agriculture, less by agropastoral population growth, cattle numbers, or small-holder land use.
View details for Web of Science ID 000171806100047
View details for PubMedID 11675492
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC60090
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Monitoring land-cover changes in West Africa with SPOT Vegetation: impact of natural disasters in 1998-1999
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2001; 22 (13): 2633-2639
View details for Web of Science ID 000170557000013
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Monitoring land-cover changes in semi-arid regions: remote sensing data and field observations in the Ferlo, Senegal
JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS
2001; 48 (2): 129-148
View details for Web of Science ID 000169490700002
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A dynamic simulation model of land-use changes in Sudano-sahelian countries of Africa (SALU)
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
2001; 85 (1-3): 145-161
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00181-5
View details for Web of Science ID 000169062400010
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Predicting land-use change
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
2001; 85 (1-3): 1-6
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00199-2
View details for Web of Science ID 000169062400001
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Proximate causes of land-use change in Narok District, Kenya: a spatial statistical model
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT
2001; 85 (1-3): 65-81
View details for Web of Science ID 000169062400005
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Prediction of the impact of logging activities on forest cover: A case-study in the East province of Cameroon
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
2001; 62 (1): 21-36
Abstract
The objective of this study was to test the value of the concept of the net commercial value of standing timber in predicting the impact of logging activities on forest-cover modifications. A study area was selected in the East province of Cameroon which contains major primary forests and which contributes strongly to national timber production. A Geographic Information System containing ecological and economic variables was used in combination with remote sensing data to define the net commercial value of standing timber in the East province. Taking account of the potential commercial value of standing timber improves our understanding of the spatial determinants of logging activities and of the resulting forest-cover modifications. The occurrence of logging-induced forest-cover modifications increases with the value of forest rent. In one of the study sites, half of the very high rent areas have already been logged. In that site, therefore, it is mostly the low rent or marginal forest areas that remain unlogged. This was not the case, however, throughout the study area as shown by the observations at another site.
View details for DOI 10.1006/jema.2001.0417
View details for Web of Science ID 000168655300002
View details for PubMedID 11400462
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Abrupt and periodic shifts in a marsh location and their impact on biodiversity and farming activities in Shompole, Kenya
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2001; 22 (5): 711-716
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431160051060084
View details for Web of Science ID 000167679300001
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Impact of land-use changes on the wildebeest migration in the northern part of the Serengeti-Mara ecosystem
JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY
2001; 28 (3): 391-407
View details for Web of Science ID 000169689800010
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Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity?
Conference on Food and Forestry: Global Change and Global Challenges
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV. 2000: 321–31
View details for Web of Science ID 000165738700025
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Impact of ENSO on East African ecosystems: a multivariate analysis based on climate and remote sensing data
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
2000; 9 (6): 481-497
View details for Web of Science ID 000166996000004
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Land-cover-change trajectories in southern Cameroon
ANNALS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS
2000; 90 (3): 467-494
View details for DOI 10.1111/0004-5608.00205
View details for Web of Science ID 000089356100002
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Impact of macroeconomic change on deforestation in South Cameroon: Integration of household survey and remotely-sensed data
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
2000; 28 (6): 983-999
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0305-750X(00)00007-3
View details for Web of Science ID 000087300000001
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Fires and land-cover change in the tropics: a remote sensing analysis at the landscape scale
JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY
2000; 27 (3): 765-776
View details for DOI 10.1046/j.1365-2699.2000.00441.x
View details for Web of Science ID 000166179900016
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The use of temporal metrics for land cover change detection at coarse spatial scales
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
2000; 21 (6-7): 1415-1432
View details for DOI 10.1080/014311600210245
View details for Web of Science ID 000086357700017
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How valuable is remotely sensed information? The case of tropical deforestation modelling
SPACE POLICY
1999; 15 (3): 149-158
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0265-9646(99)00025-9
View details for Web of Science ID 000082149500006
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Monitoring forest degradation in tropical regions by remote sensing: some methodological issues
WILEY. 1999: 191-198
View details for DOI 10.1046/j.1365-2699.1999.00123.x
View details for Web of Science ID 000084868000003
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Correlation between endemism and local ecoclimatic stability documented by comparing Andean bird distributions and remotely sensed land surface data
ECOGRAPHY
1999; 22 (1): 63-78
View details for DOI 10.1111/j.1600-0587.1999.tb00455.x
View details for Web of Science ID 000079182800008
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Burnt area mapping in Central Africa using ATSR data
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1998; 19 (18): 3473-3497
View details for DOI 10.1080/014311698213768
View details for Web of Science ID 000077774800001
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Remote sensing of biomass burning in tropical regions: Sampling issues and multisensor approach
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1998; 64 (3): 292-315
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0034-4257(98)00006-6
View details for Web of Science ID 000073641800006
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The terrestrial carbon cycle: Implications for the Kyoto Protocol
SCIENCE
1998; 280 (5368): 1393-1394
View details for Web of Science ID 000073883400038
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Detection and validation of land-cover change at coarse spatial scales in Africa
IEEE. 1998: 2518-2520
View details for DOI 10.1109/IGARSS.1998.702264
View details for Web of Science ID 000075217100812
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The identification of tropical deforestation fronts at broad spatial scales
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1997; 18 (17): 3551-3568
View details for DOI 10.1080/014311697216793
View details for Web of Science ID A1997YG76400003
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Modelling and monitoring land-cover change processes in tropical regions
PROGRESS IN PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY-EARTH AND ENVIRONMENT
1997; 21 (3): 375-393
View details for DOI 10.1177/030913339702100303
View details for Web of Science ID A1997YA61100003
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Land-cover changes in sub-Saharan Africa (1982-1991): Application of a change index based on remotely sensed surface temperature and vegetation indices at a continental scale
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1997; 61 (2): 181-200
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0034-4257(97)00001-1
View details for Web of Science ID A1997XG79300001
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Biomass burning and broad-scale land-cover changes in Western Africa
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1997; 61 (2): 201-209
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0034-4257(97)00002-3
View details for Web of Science ID A1997XG79300002
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Spatial modelling of deforestation in southern Cameroon - Spatial disaggregation of diverse deforestation processes
APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
1997; 17 (2): 143-162
View details for DOI 10.1016/S0143-6228(97)00032-5
View details for Web of Science ID A1997WQ06300004
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Are biodiversity 'hotspots' correlated with current ecoclimatic stability? A pilot study using the NOAA-AVHRR remote sensing data
BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION
1997; 6 (3): 401-422
View details for DOI 10.1023/A:1018364708207
View details for Web of Science ID A1997WV03400006
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Tropical forest area measured from global land-cover classifications: Inverse calibration models based on spatial textures
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1997; 59 (1): 29-43
View details for Web of Science ID A1997VY61600003
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Mapping forest-cover disturbances in Papua New Guinea with AVHRR data
JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY
1996; 23 (6): 757-773
View details for DOI 10.1111/j.1365-2699.1996.tb00037.x
View details for Web of Science ID A1996WJ44400004
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Change detection at multiple temporal scales: Seasonal and annual variations in landscape variables
PHOTOGRAMMETRIC ENGINEERING AND REMOTE SENSING
1996; 62 (8): 931-938
View details for Web of Science ID A1996VB60600010
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Broad scale land-cover classification and interannual climatic variability
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1996; 17 (5): 845-862
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169608949051
View details for Web of Science ID A1996UF58500002
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Are there detectable discrete boundaries between African biomes?
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1996; 17 (5): 841-844
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169608949050
View details for Web of Science ID A1996UF58500001
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The surface temperature-vegetation index space for land cover and land-cover change analysis
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1996; 17 (3): 463-487
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169608949021
View details for Web of Science ID A1996TX65900003
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ESTIMATION OF TROPICAL FOREST AREA FROM COARSE SPATIAL-RESOLUTION DATA - A 2-STEP CORRECTION FUNCTION FOR PROPORTIONAL ERRORS DUE TO SPATIAL AGGREGATION
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1995; 53 (1): 1-15
View details for Web of Science ID A1995RN88400001
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DETECTION OF HOLOCENE LAKES IN THE SAHARA USING SATELLITE REMOTE-SENSING
PHOTOGRAMMETRIC ENGINEERING AND REMOTE SENSING
1995; 61 (6): 731-737
View details for Web of Science ID A1995RA86700003
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COMBINING VEGETATION INDEXES AND SURFACE-TEMPERATURE FOR LAND-COVER MAPPING AT BROAD SPATIAL SCALES
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1995; 16 (3): 573-579
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169508954423
View details for Web of Science ID A1995QN90900012
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Land cover and land-cover change from MODIS
I E E E. 1995: 1535-1537
View details for Web of Science ID A1995BD72Q00453
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Calibration of tropical forest area estimates at coarse spatial resolution with fine resolution data
I E E E. 1995: 1003-1005
View details for Web of Science ID A1995BD72Q00291
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INDICATORS OF LAND-COVER CHANGE FOR CHANGE-VECTOR ANALYSIS IN MULTITEMPORAL SPACE AT COARSE SPATIAL SCALES
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1994; 15 (10): 2099-2119
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169408954230
View details for Web of Science ID A1994PD64900010
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CHANGE-VECTOR ANALYSIS IN MULTITEMPORAL SPACE - A TOOL TO DETECT AND CATEGORIZE LAND-COVER CHANGE PROCESSES USING HIGH TEMPORAL-RESOLUTION SATELLITE DATA
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT
1994; 48 (2): 231-244
View details for DOI 10.1016/0034-4257(94)90144-9
View details for Web of Science ID A1994NN40900011
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LAND-USE IN AN URBAN HINTERLAND - ETHNOGRAPHY AND REMOTE-SENSING IN THE STUDY OF AFRICAN INTENSIFICATION
AMERICAN ANTHROPOLOGIST
1993; 95 (4): 839-859
View details for Web of Science ID A1993MN38600002
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AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION MONITORING IN THE SAHEL USING REMOTE-SENSING - PRESENT POSSIBILITIES AND RESEARCH NEEDS
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
1993; 38 (4): 301-322
View details for DOI 10.1006/jema.1993.1047
View details for Web of Science ID A1993LT34500004
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THE EUROPEAN EARTH OBSERVATION DATA-PROCESSING AND INTERPRETATION SERVICES - ANALYSIS OF THE SECTOR AND CONDITIONS FOR ITS DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1993; 14 (4): 635-654
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169308904365
View details for Web of Science ID A1993LB28300002
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LIMITATIONS TO THE IDENTIFICATION OF SPATIAL STRUCTURES FROM AVHRR DATA
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING
1990; 11 (5): 921-927
View details for DOI 10.1080/01431169008955066
View details for Web of Science ID A1990DK87900016