John Taylor
Mary and Robert Raymond Professor, George P. Shultz Senior Fellow of Economics at the Hoover Institution and Senior Fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
Bio
John B. Taylor is the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University and the George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in Economics at the Hoover Institution. He is Director of the Stanford Introductory Economics Center. He formerly served as director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, where he is now a senior fellow.
Taylor’s academic fields of expertise are macroeconomics, monetary economics, and international economics. He is known for his research on the foundations of modern monetary theory and policy, which has been applied by central banks and financial market analysts around the world. He has an active interest in public policy. He served as senior economist on the President’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1976 to 1977, as a member of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1989 to 1991. He was also a member of the Congressional Budget Office’s Panel of Economic Advisers from 1995 to 2001. Taylor served as a member of the California Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors from 1996-98 and 2005-10.
For four years from 2001 to 2005, Taylor served as Under Secretary of Treasury for International Affairs where he was responsible for currency markets, trade in financial services, foreign investment, international debt and development, and oversight of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. He was also responsible for coordinating financial policy with the G-7 countries, was chair of the OECD working party on international macroeconomics, and was a Member of the Board of the Overseas Private Investment Corporation. His book Global Financial Warriors: The Untold Story of International Finance in the Post-9/11 World chronicles his years as head of the international division at Treasury. His book Getting Off Track: How Government Actions and Interventions Caused, Prolonged, and Worsened the Financial Crisis was one of the first on the financial crisis, and he has since followed up with two books on preventing future crises, co-editing The Road ahead for the Fed and Ending Government Bailouts As We Know Them. His latest book is First Principles: Five Keys to Restoring Americas’ Prosperity, winner of the 2012 Hayek Prize.
In 2010, Taylor received the Bradley Prize from the Bradley Foundation and the Adam Smith Award from the National Association for Business Economics for his work as a researcher, public servant, and teacher. Taylor was awarded the Alexander Hamilton Award for his overall leadership at the U.S. Treasury, the Treasury Distinguished Service Award for designing and implementing the currency reforms in Iraq, and the Medal of the Republic of Uruguay for his work in resolving the 2002 financial crisis. He was awarded the George P. Shultz Distinguished Public Service Award at Stanford, the Hoagland Prize for excellence in undergraduate teaching and the Rhodes Prize for his high teaching ratings in Stanford’s introductory economics course. He also received a Guggenheim Fellowship for his research, and he is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and the Econometric Society; he formerly served as vice president of the American Economic Association.
Previously, Taylor held positions of professor of economics at Princeton University and Columbia University. Taylor received a B.A. in economics summa cum laude from Princeton University in 1968 and a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University in 1973.
Academic Appointments
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Professor, Economics
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Hoover Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution
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Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR)
Administrative Appointments
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Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics, Stanford University (1993 - Present)
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Professor of Economics, Stanford University (1984 - 1993)
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Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (1997 - Present)
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Senior Fellow, Stanford Center for International Development, Stanford University (2005 - Present)
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George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in Economics, Hoover Institution at Stanford University (2010 - Present)
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Bowen H. and Janice Arthur McCoy Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution at Stanford University (1996 - 2010)
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Professor of Economics and Public Affairs, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Woodrow Wilson School (1980 - 1984)
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Visiting Professor of Economics, Yale University, Department of Economics and Cowles Foundation (1980 - 1980)
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Professor of Economics, Columbia University, Department of Economics (1979 - 1980)
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Associate Professor of Economics, Columbia University, Department of Economics (1977 - 1979)
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Assistant Professor of Economics, Columbia University, Department of Economics (1973 - 1977)
Honors & Awards
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National Association of Business Economics Adolph G. Abramson Award, Business Economics (2013)
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Hayek Prize, Manhattan Institute for Policy Research (2012)
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Bradley Prize for contributions to research and policy, Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation (2010)
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Adam Smith Award for contributions to economic research, National Association for Business Economics (2007)
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George P. Shultz Public Service Award, Stanford University (2005)
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Alexander Hamilton Award for leadership in international finance, United States Treasury (2005)
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Distinguished Service Award, United States Treasury (2004)
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Medal of the Oriental Republic of Uruguay, Oriental Republic of Uruguay (2002)
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Lilian and Thomas B. Rhodes Prize, Lilian and Thomas B. Rhodes (1996)
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Laurence and Naomi Carpenter Hoagland Prize, Laurence and Naomi Carpenter Hoagland (1991)
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Fellow, American Academy of Arts and Sciences (1992-)
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Fellow, Econometric Society (1985-)
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Fellow, Guggenheim Foundation (1983-1984)
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Fellowship, Social Science Research Council (1975-1976)
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Wolf Balleisen Memorial Prize for Best Senior Thesis in Economics, Princeton University (1968)
Boards, Advisory Committees, Professional Organizations
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Director, Introductory Economics Center (1997 - 2001)
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Director, Introductory Economics Center (2011 - Present)
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Director, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) (1994 - 1997)
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Director, Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Program at Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (1992 - 2001)
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Chair, Working Group on Economic Policy (2007 - Present)
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Under Secretary for International Affairs, United States Treasury (2001 - 2005)
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Member, Board of Directors, Overseas Private Investment Corporation (2001 - 2004)
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Chair, Working Party III, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (2003 - 2005)
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Member, President's Council of Economic Advisers (1989 - 1991)
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Senior Staff Economist, President's Council of Economic Advisers (1976 - 1977)
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Member, Advisory Panel, Congressional Budget Office (1983 - 1983)
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Member, Advisory Panel, Congressional Budget Office (1995 - 2001)
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Member, California Governor's Council of Economic Advisers (1995 - 1998)
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Member, California Governor's Council of Economic Advisers (2005 - 2010)
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Advisory Board Chair, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute (2007 - Present)
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Research Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (1981 - 1984)
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Honorary Adviser, Bank of Japan (1994 - 2001)
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Visiting Scholar, Bank of Japan (1987 - 1987)
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Visiting Scholar, Bank of Finland (1986 - 1986)
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Member, Board of Trustees, Dodge and Cox Funds (1995 - 2001)
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Member, Board of Trustees, Dodge and Cox Funds (2005 - Present)
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Economic Analyst, Townsend-Greenspan and Company, New York (1978 - 1981)
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Member, Council on Foreign Relations (2012 - Present)
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Member, Pew Task Force on Financial Reforms (2009 - 2010)
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Managing Editor, International Journal of Central Banking (2005 - 2008)
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Vice-President, American Economic Association (2000 - 2001)
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Member, Executive Committee, American Economic Association (1992 - 1995)
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Co-Editor, American Economic Review (1985 - 1988)
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Chair, Editor Search Committee, American Economic Review (2000 - 2000)
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Member, Committee on Government Relations, American Economic Association (2013 - Present)
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Member, Committee on Role of Advocacy, American Economic Association (2007 - 2009)
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Member, Committee on Economic Education, American Economic Association (1997 - 2001)
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Member, Budget Committee, American Economic Association (1993 - 1995)
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Member, Honors and Awards Committee, American Economic Association (1989 - 1993)
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Member, Board of Trustees, Foundation for Teaching Economics (1997 - 2001)
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Member, Revisions Committee, Voluntary National Content Standards in Economics (2008 - 2011)
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Member, Review Committee, Voluntary National Content Standards in Economics (1997 - 1997)
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Member, Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (2000 - 2001)
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Member, Committee on Economic Stability and Growth and Subcommittee on Monetary Research, Social Science Research (1986 - 1989)
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Member, Graduate Record Examinations Committee, Educational Testing Service (1984 - 1986)
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Member, Economics Oversight Committee, National Science Foundation (1983 - 1983)
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Member, Brookings Panel on Economic Activity (1982 - 1983)
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Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research (1981 - Present)
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Member, Advisory Committee, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (1979 - 1989)
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Member, Advisory Committee, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (1992 - 2001)
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Member, Advisory Review Panel for Economics, National Science Foundation (1979 - 1981)
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Associate Editor, Econometrica (1981 - 1985)
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Associate Editor, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1978 - 1985)
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Associate Editor, Journal of Monetary Economics (1978 - 1985)
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Associate Editor, Review of Economics and Statistics (1993 - 1996)
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Associate Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives (1997 - 2000)
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Associate Editor, Journal of Applied Econometrics (1997 - 2001)
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Associate Editor, Journal of Macroeconomics (1998 - 2001)
Professional Education
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Ph.D., Stanford University, Economics (1973)
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A.B., Princeton University, Economics (1968)
2024-25 Courses
- Macroeconomic Seminar
ECON 310 (Aut, Win, Spr) - Principles of Economics
ECON 1 (Win) -
Independent Studies (4)
- Directed Reading
ECON 139D (Aut, Win, Spr) - Directed Reading
ECON 239D (Aut, Win, Spr) - Honors Thesis Research
ECON 199D (Aut, Win, Spr) - Practical Training
ECON 299 (Aut, Win, Spr)
- Directed Reading
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Prior Year Courses
2023-24 Courses
- Macroeconomic Seminar
ECON 310 (Aut, Win, Spr) - Principles of Economics
ECON 1 (Aut)
2022-23 Courses
- Macroeconomic Workshop
ECON 310 (Aut, Win, Spr) - Principles of Economics
ECON 1 (Aut)
2021-22 Courses
- Macroeconomic Workshop
ECON 310 (Aut, Win, Spr) - Principles of Economics
ECON 1 (Aut, Sum)
- Macroeconomic Seminar
All Publications
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Odyssean forward guidance in normal times
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL
2024; 165
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104877
View details for Web of Science ID 001248509500001
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The Effect of the Rescue Plans and the Need for Policies to Increase Economic Growth.
Journal of policy modeling
2022
Abstract
This paper evaluates the economic impact of discretionary fiscal and monetary actions taken in the United States during 2020 and 2021. The fiscal actions are The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, or the "CARES" Act, passed in March 2020; The Consolidated Appropriations Act, passed in December 2020; and The American Rescue Plan Act, passed in March 2021. The paper focuses on the impact of the "economic impact payments" that underlie these fiscal actions. The paper also examines discretionary monetary policy actions taken during the same period. The overall implication is that there is a need to return to policies that increase economic growth and stability, including rules-based fiscal and monetary policy, rather than to continue with these one-time discretionary actions.
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.09.004
View details for PubMedID 36160727
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The impact of the coronavirus on economic policy and the economy
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING
2021; 43 (4): 761-769
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.02.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000674556600005
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Simple monetary rules: many strengths and few weaknesses
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF LAW AND ECONOMICS
2021
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10657-020-09683-1
View details for Web of Science ID 000607363400001
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Simple monetary rules: many strengths and few weaknesses.
European journal of law and economics
2021; 52 (2-3): 267-283
Abstract
This paper endeavors to examine the basic idea in Richard Epstein's book Simple Rules for a Complex World. It does so by considering a specific simple rule which was explicitly designed for complex world. A basic idea in Epstein's book is that the more complex is the world the better is the case for simple rules. To show this, he develops six simple rules pertaining to the rights of individuals, first possession, contracts, torts, government eminent domain and the power of taxation to provide public goods. This paper considers one rule rather than six rules, and it looks at monetary policy rather than policy in general. While the context is different, the case for simple rules made here provides a useful comparison with the case made by Epstein.
View details for DOI 10.1007/s10657-020-09683-1
View details for PubMedID 38624567
View details for PubMedCentralID PMC7802817
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A tractable framework for analyzing a class of nonstationary Markov models
QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS
2020; 11 (4): 1289–1323
View details for DOI 10.3982/QE1360
View details for Web of Science ID 000590692000004
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Inflation targeting in high inflation emerging economies: lessons about rules and instruments
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS
2019; 22 (1): 102–15
View details for DOI 10.1080/15140326.2019.1565396
View details for Web of Science ID 000470143800001
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Remarks on monetary rules for a post-crisis World
JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS
2017; 54: 7–11
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jmacro.2017.04.008
View details for Web of Science ID 000422895700002
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Slow economic growth as a phase in a policy performance cycle
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING
2016; 38 (4): 649-655
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2016.05.008
View details for Web of Science ID 000386193800005
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Can We Restart the Recovery All Over Again?
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
2016; 106 (5): 48-51
View details for DOI 10.1257/aer.p20161007
View details for Web of Science ID 000379341300008
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Rapid growth or stagnation: An economic policy choice
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING
2014; 36 (4): 641-648
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2014.03.006
View details for Web of Science ID 000339701400005
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The Role of Policy in the Great Recession and the Weak Recovery
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
2014; 104 (5): 61-66
View details for DOI 10.1257/aer.104.5.61
View details for Web of Science ID 000338925400009
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International monetary coordination and the great deviation
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING
2013; 35 (3): 463-472
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.03.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000320971300011
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Fiscal consolidation strategy
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL
2013; 37 (2): 404-421
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.10.004
View details for Web of Science ID 000313846400004
- Falling Behind the Curve: A Positive Analysis of Stop-Start Monetary Policies and the Great Inflation The Great Inflation edited by Orphanide, A., Bordo, M. University Chicago Press. 2013: 217–253
- International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation Journal of Policy Modeling 2013
- Swings in the Rules-Discretion Balance Rethinking Expectations: The Way Forward for Macroeconomics edited by Frydman, R., Phelps, E. S. Princeton University Press. 2013: 373–388
- Monetary Policy During the Past 30 Years With Lessons for the Next 30 Years The Cato Journal 2013; 33
- The Effectiveness of Central Bank Independence Business Economics 2013
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Monetary Policy Rules Work and Discretion Doesn't: A Tale of Two Eras
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING
2012; 44 (6): 1017-1032
View details for DOI 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00521.x
View details for Web of Science ID 000307968000002
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SURPRISING COMPARATIVE PROPERTIES OF MONETARY MODELS: RESULTS FROM A NEW MODEL DATABASE
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS
2012; 94 (3): 800-816
View details for Web of Science ID 000307127600013
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Estimated Impact of the Federal Reserve's Mortgage-Backed Securities Purchase Program
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CENTRAL BANKING
2012; 8 (2): 1-42
View details for Web of Science ID 000305805400001
- Bankruptcy Not Bailout: A Special Chapter 14 edited by Scott, K. E., Taylor, J. B. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2012
- Preface Bankruptcy Not Bailout: A Special Chapter 14 Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2012: Ix-Xii
- Introduction Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery edited by Ohanian, L., Taylor, J. B., Wright, I. Hoover Press, Stanford. 2012
- The Dual Nature of Forecast Targeting and Instrument Rules: A Comment on Michael Woodford's 'Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy: Policy Rules in Practice The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy edited by Kahn, G. A., Koenig, E. F., Leeson, R. Hoover Institution Press. 2012
- What the Government Purchases Multiplier Actually Multiplied in the 2009 Stimulus Package Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery edited by Ohanian, L., Taylor, J. B., Wright, I. Hoover Press, Stanford. 2012: 85–114
- A Comparison of Government Regulation of Risk in the Financial Services and Nuclear Power Industries The Nuclear Enterprise edited by Drell, S., Shultz, G. P. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford California. 2012: 275–296
- Government Policies and the Delayed Economic Recovery edited by Ohanian, L., Taylor, J. B., Wright, I. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2012
- Towards an Exit Strategy: Discretion or Rules? Torino, IBL Libri. 2012
- First Principles: Five Keys to Restoring America's Prosperity WW Norton. 2012
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An Empirical Analysis of the Revival of Fiscal Activism in the 2000s
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE
2011; 49 (3): 686-702
View details for DOI 10.1257/jel.49.3.686
View details for Web of Science ID 000295082100005
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Review of Allan H. Meltzer's A history of the Federal Reserve, Volume 2, University of Chicago Press, 2009
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
2011; 58 (2): 183-189
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.10.009
View details for Web of Science ID 000292365500008
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Where Did the Stimulus Go?
COMMENTARY
2011; 131 (1): 23-26
View details for Web of Science ID 000285988100020
- Monetary Policy, Economic Policy and the Financial Crisis: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong What Caused the Financial Crisis University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 2011: 150–171
- Origins and Policy Implications of the Crisis New Directions in Financial Services Regulation edited by Porter, R. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. 2011: 13–22
- Better Living through Monetary Economics Better Living Through Economics edited by Siegfried, J. Harvard University Press. 2011: 146–163
- The Rules-Discretion Cycle in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Finnish Economic Papers 2011; 24 (2): 78-86
- The State of the U.S. Economy Whither or Wither, U.S.- Korea Institute at SAIS and the Korea Institute of Finance 2011: 57-70
- Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy Handbook of Monetary Economics edited by Williams, J. C., Friedman, B., Woodford, M. Elsevier. 2011
- Economics Cengage Southwestern Publishers. 2011
- Macroeconomic Lessons from the Great Deviation NBER Macroeconomics Annual, Vol. 25 edited by Acemoglu, D., Woodford, M. The University of Chicago Press. 2011: 387–395
- The Cycle of Rules and Discretion in Economic Policy National Affairs 2011: 55-65
- Legislating a Rule for Monetary Policy Cato Institute's 28th Annual Monetary Conference, Asset Bubbles and Monetary Policy 2011: 407–15
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Comment on: "Global effects of fiscal stimulus during the crisis" by Charles Freedman, Michael Kumhof, Douglas Laxton, Dick Muir, Susanna Mursula
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
2010; 57 (5): 527-530
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.05.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000280969900002
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Getting Back on Track: Macroeconomic Policy Lessons from the Financial Crisis
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST LOUIS REVIEW
2010; 92 (3): 165-176
View details for Web of Science ID 000277700300002
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New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL
2010; 34 (3): 281-295
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jedc.2010.01.010
View details for Web of Science ID 000276124000001
- Ending Government Bailouts As We Know Them edited by Scott, K., Schult, G., Taylor, J. B. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2010
- Defining Systemic Risk Operationally Ending Government Bailouts As We Know Them edited by Scott, K., Shultz, G., Taylor, J. B. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2010: 33–57
- Commentary: Monetary Policy after the Fall Macroeconomic Challenges: The Decade Ahead 2010: 337-348
- Systemic Risk and the Role of Government Risco E Regulacao edited by Garcia, M., Gaimbiagi, F. Campus/Elsevier. 2010: 19–28
- Comments on 'Trade-offs in Monetary Policy' David Laidler's Contributions to Economics 2010: 118-121
- Economics Global Financial Crisis Edition. 2010
- Comments on 'Global Effects of Fiscal Stimulus During the Crisis' Journal of Monetary Economics 2010; 57 (5): 527-530
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The term structure of policy rules
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
2009; 56 (7): 907-917
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2009.09.004
View details for Web of Science ID 000272365400001
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The Lack of an Empirical Rationale for a Revival of Discretionary Fiscal Policy
121st Annual Meeting of the American-Economic-Association
AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC. 2009: 550–55
View details for DOI 10.1257/aer.99.2.550
View details for Web of Science ID 000266458300091
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A Black Swan in the Money Market
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS
2009; 1 (1): 58-83
View details for DOI 10.1257/mac.1.1.58
View details for Web of Science ID 000284510100004
- Empirically Evaluating Economic Policy in Real Time Inaugural Martin Feldstein Lecture, NBER Reporter 2009
- Should the G-20 Reconsider the Decision to Treble IMF Recourses? Renewing Globalization and Economic Growth in a Post-Crisis World: The Future of the G-20 Agenda Carnegie Mellon University Press, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. 2009: 77–79
- Introduction The Road Ahead For the Fed edited by Ciorciari, J., Taylor, J. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford. 2009
- Economics Houghton-Mifflin, Boston. 2009
- Getting off Track: How Government Actions and Interventions Caused, Prolonged, and Worsened the Financial Crisis Hoover Institution Press, Stanford. 2009
- Monetary Policy in a Global Economy: Past and Future Research Challenges Globalisation and the Macroeconomy: European Central Bank Conference Cambridge University Press. 2009
- The Need for a Clear and Credible Exit Strategy The Road Ahead for the Fed edited by Ciorciari, J., Taylor, J. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford. 2009: 85–100
- Fifty Years of the Phillips Curve: A Dialog on What We Have Learned Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy, edited by Fuhrer, J. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. 2009
- The Road Ahead for the Fed edited by Ciorciari, J. Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, California. 2009
- Globalization and Monetary Policy: Missions Impossible The International Dimensions of Monetary Policy edited by Gertler, M., Gali, J. The University of Chicago Press. 2009: 609–624
- The Need to Return to a Monetary Framework Business Economics 2009; 44 (2): 63-72
- The Lack of an Empirical Rationale for a Revival of Discretionary Fiscal Policy CESifo Forum 2009; 10 (2): 9-13
- The Financial Crisis and the Policy Response: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong Critical Review 2009; 21 (2-3): 341-364
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ECONOMIC POLICY AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF WHAT WENT WRONG
CRITICAL REVIEW
2009; 21 (2-3): 341-364
View details for DOI 10.1080/08913810902974865
View details for Web of Science ID 000267973700009
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A review of the productivity resurgence
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING
2008; 30 (4): 619-626
View details for DOI 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.04.005
View details for Web of Science ID 000258387900006
- The Financial Crisis and the Policy Response: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong A Festschrift in Honour of David Dodge's Contributions to Canadian Public Policy 2008: 1-18
- Global Financial Warriors: The Untold Story of International Finance in the Post 9/11 World WW Norton. 2008
- The Way Back to Stability and Growth in the Global Economy Monetary and Economic Studies 2008: 37-48
- The Impact of Globalization on Monetary Policy Globalization, Inflation and Monetary Policy 2008: 257-263
- The Importance of Being Predictable Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 2008: 405-420
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Thirty-five years of model building for monetary policy evaluation: Breakthroughs, dark ages, and a renaissance
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING
2007; 39 (1): 193-201
View details for Web of Science ID 000244230400011
- Global Financial Warriors: The Untold Story of International Finance in the Post 9/11 World WW Norton. 2007
- Housing and Monetary Policy Housing, Housing Finance, and Monetary Policy 2007: 463-476
- Do We Get More Out of Theory Than We Put In? Central Banking 2007; 18 (2): 23-27
- Lessons of the Financial Crisis for the Design of the New International Financial Architecture World Bank Conference Volume 2007
- The Explanatory Power of Monetary Policy Rules Business Economics 2007; 42 (4): 8-15
- The 2002 Uruguayan Financial Crisis: Five Years Later World Bank Conference Volume 2007
- Back to the Workd of Ideas Stanford Magazine 2007
- Economics Houghton-Mifflin, Boston. 2007
- Commentary on 'The Rise of Off-Shoring': It's Not Wine or Cloth Anymore Jackson Hole Conference Volume 2006: 103–109
- Lessons Learned from the Implementation of lnflation Targeting Stability and Economic Growth: The Role of the Central Bank 2006: 229-236
- The Policy Support Instrument: A Key Component of the Recent IMF Reform Movement Reforming the IMF for the 21st Century edited by Truman, E. M. Institute for International Economics. 2006
- Economic Reform and the Current Account: Implementing the Strategy IMF Conference on the Current Account 2006
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The international implications of October 1979: Toward a long boom on a global scale
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST LOUIS REVIEW
2005; 87 (2): 269-275
View details for Web of Science ID 000228908600009
- Policies in International Finance, 2001-2005, A Real Time Record in Speeches and Testimony 2005
- Commentary: Understanding the Greenspan Standard Jackson Hole Conference Volume 2005: 107-118
- Monetary Policy Modeling: Where Are We and Where Should We Be Going Models and Monetary Policy: Research in the Tradition of Dale Henderson, Richard Porter, and Peter Tinsley Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 2005: 328–334
- Economics Houghton-Mifflin, Boston. 2004
- Strengthening the Global Economy: A Report on the Bush Administration Agenda Business Economics 2003; 38 (1): 34-38
- Increasing Economic Growth and Stability in Emerging Markets The Cato Journal 2003; 23 (1): 127-134
- New Policies for Economic Development Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics 2002
- The Monetary Transmission Mechanism and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy Rules Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms edited by Loayza, N., Schmidt-Hebbel, K. Santiago, Chile, Central Bank of Chile. 2002: 21–46
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The role of the exchange rate in monetary-policy rules
113th Annual Meeting of the American-Economics-Association
AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC. 2001: 263–67
View details for Web of Science ID 000169114600050
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Commentary: Macroeconomic implications of the new economy
Symposium on Economic Policy for the Information Economy
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK KANSAS CITY. 2001: 279–284
View details for Web of Science ID 000227537000014
- Using Monetary Policy Rules in Emerging Market Economies Proceedings of a conference at the Bank of Mexico 2001
- Low Inflation, Deflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability The Role of Monetary Policy Under Low Inflation: Deflationary Shocks and their Policy Responses, Monetary and Economic Studies (Special Edition) 2001; 19 (S1): 35-51
- How the Rational Expectations Revolution has Changed Macroeconomic Policy Research Advances in Macroeconomics edited by Dreze, J. Palgrave. 2001
- An Interview with Milton Friedman Macroeconomic Dynamics Cambridge University Press. 2001: 101–131
- Expectations, Open Market Operations, and Changes in the Federal Funds Rate Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2001; 83 (4): 33-48
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Comment on three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING
2000; 32 (4): 973-978
View details for Web of Science ID 000165250400007
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Reassessing discretionary fiscal policy
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES
2000; 14 (3): 21-36
View details for Web of Science ID 000089200400002
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Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms
22nd Annual International Seminar on Macroeconomics (ISOM)
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV. 2000: 1389–1408
View details for Web of Science ID 000087534400008
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Teaching modern macroeconomics at the principles level
112th Annual Meeting of the American-Economic-Association
AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC. 2000: 90–94
View details for Web of Science ID 000087512600018
- Recent Developments in the Use of Monetary Policy Rules Monetary Policy and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies 2000: 207-219
- Economics Houghton-Mifflin, Boston. 2000
- The Policy Rule Mix: A Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation Money, Capital Mobility and Trade, Essays in Honor of Robert Mundell edited by Calvo, G., Oornbusch, R., Obstfeld, M. MIT Press. 2000: 505–518
- Economics Houghton-Mifflin, Boston. 2000
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Alternative views of the monetary transmission mechanism: What difference do they make for monetary policy?
OXFORD REVIEW OF ECONOMIC POLICY
2000; 16 (4): 60-73
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A historical analysis of monetary policy rules
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- Staggered Price and Wage Setting in Macroeconomics Handbook of Macroeconomics edited by Taylor, J. B., Woodford, M. North-Holland, Elsevier. 1999: 1009–1050
- The Robustness and Efficiency of Monetary Policy Rules as Guidelines for Interest Rate Setting by the European Central Bank Journal of Monetary Economics 1999; : 655–679
- What the European Central Bank Needs to Do Hoover Digest 1999
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Monetary policy rules - Introduction
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Monetary policy guidelines for employment and inflation stability
1st Alvin Hansen Symposium on Public Policy
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Inflation, unemployment, and monetary policy - Rejoinder
1st Alvin Hansen Symposium on Public Policy
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A core of practical macroeconomics
109th Meeting of the American-Economic-Association
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Policy rules as a means to a more effective monetary policy
7th International Conference on Towards More Effective Monetary Policy
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Econometric models and the monetary policy process
Carnegie-Rochester Conference on Public Policy
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How should monetary policy respond to shocks while maintaining long-run price stability? Conceptual issues
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THE MONETARY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM - AN EMPIRICAL FRAMEWORK
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1995; 9 (4): 11-26
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- Stabilization Policy and Long-Term Economic Growth Growth and Development: The Economics of the 21st Century edited by Wright, G., Landau, R. 1995
- The Inflation-Output Variability Tradeoff Revisited Goals Guidelines, and Constraints Facing Monetary Policymakers edited by Fuhrer, J. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. 1994: 21–38
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THE USE OF THE NEW MACROECONOMETRICS FOR POLICY FORMULATION
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MICROECONOMIC RIGIDITIES AND AGGREGATE PRICE DYNAMICS - COMMENT
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1993; 37 (4): 714-717
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- Macroeconomics: Theory, Performance and Policy W.W. Norton, New York. 1993
- Macroeconomic Policy in a World Economy: From Econometric Design to Practical Operation W.W. Norton, New York. 1993
- Discretion Versus Policy Rules in Practice SIEPR Publication 1992
- The Great Inflation, The Great Disinflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability Disinflation and Monetary Policy edited by Blundell-Wignall, A. Ambassador Press, Sydney. 1992
- Price Stabilization in the 1990s: A Summary Price Stabilization in the 1990s edited by Shigehara, K. University of Tokyo Press. 1992
- Comment on 'Central Bank Behavior and the Strategy of Monetary Policy: Observations from Six Industrialized Countries' NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1992 edited by Blanchard, O., Fischer, S. MIT Press. 1992: 234–237
- Comments on 'The Budgetary Arithmetic of Loan Guarantees and Deposit Insurance' Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1992: 123–66
- Comments on 'Inflation Persistence' Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1992
- Synchronized Wage Determination and Macroeconomic Performance in Seven Large Countries Macroeconomics: A Survey of Strategic Strategies edited by Vercelli, A., Dimitri , N. Oxford University Press. 1992: 321–344
- The Budgetary Arithrnetics of Loan Guarantees and Deposit Insurance: A Comment 1992: 123–25
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THE FINANCIAL-SYSTEM AND ECONOMIC-PERFORMANCE - COMMENTARY
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1990; 4 (4): 307-309
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FULL INFORMATION ESTIMATION AND STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF MODELS WITH RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS
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1990; 5 (4): 381-392
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SOLVING STOCHASTIC EQUILIBRIUM-MODELS WITH THE EXTENDED PATH METHOD
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SOLVING NONLINEAR STOCHASTIC GROWTH-MODELS - A COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION METHODS
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MONETARY-POLICY AND THE STABILITY OF MACROECONOMIC RELATIONSHIPS
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SYMPOSIUM ON MACROECONOMICS .2. THE EVOLUTION OF IDEAS IN MACROECONOMICS
1988 AUSTRALIAN ECONOMICS CONGRESS
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- Differences in Economic Fluctuations in Japan, the U.S. and Europe: The Role of Nominal Rigidities Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 1989; 3 (2): 127-144
- Policy Analysis with a Multicountry Model Macroeconomics Policies in an Interdependent World, International Monetary Fund edited by Bryant, R., Currie , D., Frenkel, J., Masson, P., Portes, R. 1989: 122–141
- Comments on 'Equilibrium Interpretations of Employment and Real Wages' Macroeconomics Annual edited by Fischer, S. 1988
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- Comments on 'A Method for Determining Whether Parameters in Aggregative Models are Structural' 1988: 253–57
- Involuntary Unemployment The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economic Theory and Doctrine edited by Eatwell, J., Milgate, M., Newman, P. Stockton Press, New York, NY. 1988
- The Current Account and Macroeconomic Policy: An Econometric Analysis The US. Trade Deficit: Causes, Consequences, and Cures, 12th Annual Economic Policy Conference Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis edited by Burger, A. E. Academic Publishing, Boston, MA. 1988
- A Summary of the Empirical and Analytical Results and the Implications for International Monetary Policy Toward a World of Economic Stability: Optimal Monetary Framework and Policy edited by Suzuki, Y., Okabe, M. University of Tokyo Press, Tokyo, Japan. 1988: 17–34
- Macroeconomics: Theory, Performance and Policy W.W. Norton, New York. 1988
- Externalities Associated with Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities New Approaches to Monetary Economics edited by Barnett, W., Singleton, K. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, MA. 1987: 350–367
- The Role of Contracts in Macroeconomic Performance Incentives, Cooperation and Risk Sharing: Economic and Psychological Perspectives on Employment Contracts edited by Nalbantian, H. Rowman and Littlefield, Totowa, New Jersey. 1987: 198–201
- Improvements in Macroeconomic Stability: The Role of Wages and Prices The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change edited by Gordon, R. J. University of Chicago Press for NBER. 1986: 639–678
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- New Econometric Approaches to Stabilization Policy in Stochastic Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations Handbook of Econometrics, 3 edited by Griliches, Z., Intriligator, M. North-Holland. 1986: 1997–2055
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INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION IN THE DESIGN OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY RULES
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1985; 28 (1-2): 53-81
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- Estimation and Solution of Linear Rational Expectations Models Using a Polynomial Matrix Factorization Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 1984; 8 (3): 341-348
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ESTIMATION AND SOLUTION OF LINEAR RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS MODELS USING A POLYNOMIAL MATRIX FACTORIZATION
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UNION WAGE SETTLEMENTS DURING A DISINFLATION
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WAGE RIGIDITY AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN OECD COUNTRIES - COMMENT
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SOLUTION AND MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC NONLINEAR RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS MODELS
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- Rational Expectations and the Invisible Handshake Macroeconomics, Prices, and Quantities edited by Tobin, J. The Brookings Institution. 1983
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THE SWEDISH INVESTMENT FUNDS SYSTEM AS A STABILIZATION POLICY RULE
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ESTABLISHING CREDIBILITY - A RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS VIEWPOINT
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1982; 72 (2): 81-85
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STABILIZATION, ACCOMMODATION, AND MONETARY RULES
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1981; 71 (2): 145-149
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- An Inequality for a Sum of Quadratic Forms with Applications to Probability Theory Linear Algebra and Its Applications 1981: 93–99
- On the Possibility and Desirability of Stabilization Policy: A Comment Rational Expectations and Economic Policy edited by Fischer, S. University of Chicago Press. 1980
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AGGREGATE DYNAMICS AND STAGGERED CONTRACTS
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AN INEQUALITY FOR A SUM OF QUADRATIC-FORMS WITH APPLICATIONS TO PROBABILITY-THEORY
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OUTPUT AND PRICE STABILITY - AN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON
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- Recent Developments in the Theory of Stabilization Policy Stabilization Policy: Lessons from the 1970s and Implications for the 1980s edited by Meyers, L. 1980
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STRONG CONSISTENCY OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATES IN DYNAMIC-MODELS
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STAGGERED WAGE SETTING IN A MACRO MODEL
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1979; 69 (2): 108-113
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- Stabilizing Powers of Monetary Policy under Rational Expectations Studies in Macroeconomic Theory: Employment and Iriflation edited by Phelps, E. S. Academic Press. 1979
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- Econometric Models of Criminal Behavior: A Review Contributions to Economic Analysis Series: Economic Models of Criminal Behavior edited by Heinke, J. North-Holland. 1978
- The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: Another View Evaluation Studies Review Annual edited by Cook, T. D. Sage Publications. 1978
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CONDITIONS FOR UNIQUE SOLUTIONS IN STOCHASTIC MACROECONOMIC MODELS WITH RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
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DETERRENT EFFECT OF CAPITAL-PUNISHMENT - ANOTHER VIEW
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STABILIZING POWERS OF MONETARY-POLICY UNDER RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
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SOME EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS ON STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATES IN CONTROL PROBLEMS
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1976; 44 (6): 1289-1302
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STRONG CONSISTENCY OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATES IN NORMAL LINEAR-REGRESSION
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1976; 4 (4): 788-790
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METHODS OF EFFICIENT PARAMETER-ESTIMATION IN CONTROL PROBLEMS
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MONETARY-POLICY DURING A TRANSITION TO RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
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STABILIZATION POLICIES IN A GROWING ECONOMY - COMMENT
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1972; 39 (120): 515-519
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